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On Wednesday, RBC Capital Markets reiterated its confidence in Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:OLLI), maintaining an Outperform rating with a steady price target of $133.00. The firm’s analyst projected a strong upcoming financial report and highlighted the anticipated continued benefit to Ollie’s from the closure of competing Big Lots (NYSE:BIG) stores. Trading near its 52-week high of $122.15, OLLI has demonstrated remarkable momentum with a 60% return over the past year. According to InvestingPro analysis, while the stock trades at a relatively high P/E ratio of 36x, the company maintains a GOOD overall financial health score.
The analyst’s expectations for the first quarter include a comparable sales increase of 2.0%, slightly ahead of the consensus estimate of 1.4%. However, the adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimate has been modified to $0.74, a cautious approach that still surpasses the consensus of $0.71, reflecting a modest year-over-year EPS increase. With the next earnings report due on June 4th, investors can access comprehensive analysis and 13 additional exclusive insights through InvestingPro’s detailed research report.
RBC’s research indicates that management at Ollie’s is likely to confirm the positive impact from the shutdown of nearby Big Lots stores. This insight is based on communication with approximately 60 of the 170 Ollie’s stores located in proximity to Big Lots locations closed for over six months. The findings revealed that about 76% of these stores experienced consistently higher traffic, and roughly 40% have implemented promotional strategies to attract and convert customers.
Looking further ahead, RBC has set a projection for Ollie’s comparable sales growth in 2025 at 3.5%, which is higher than the consensus forecast of 2.0%. The firm also anticipates an adjusted EPS of $3.90 for 2025, surpassing the consensus estimate of $3.73. The $133 price target is anchored on a roughly 30 times multiple of RBC’s adjusted EPS estimate of $4.43 for 2026, which again is higher than the consensus estimate of $4.27.
The analyst’s comments reflect a positive outlook for Ollie’s Bargain Outlet’s near-term performance and growth potential, underpinned by strategic benefits from market dynamics and the company’s targeted customer conversion efforts. The company’s solid 8% revenue growth and strong financial position, with a current ratio of 3.27x, support this optimistic outlook. For deeper insights into OLLI’s valuation and growth prospects, including exclusive Fair Value analysis and detailed financial metrics, explore the comprehensive research available on InvestingPro.
In other recent news, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. has been the focus of several analyst updates following its fourth-quarter earnings report. UBS analyst Mark Carden raised the company’s price target to $123, citing strong same-store sales growth of 2.8% that exceeded market expectations despite challenging conditions. Meanwhile, RBC Capital Markets maintained its Outperform rating with a $133 price target, highlighting Ollie’s strong business fundamentals and potential market share gains from competitors like Big Lots. KeyBanc Capital Markets also increased its price target for Ollie’s to $135, maintaining an Overweight rating and expressing optimism about the company’s comparable store sales potential.
In contrast, Piper Sandler slightly reduced its price target to $124 but maintained an Overweight rating, noting the company’s robust outlook for 2025 and potential benefits from Big Lots’ liquidation. Citi reaffirmed its Buy rating with a $133 price target, emphasizing Ollie’s better-than-expected same-store sales and promising start to the first quarter. Analysts have pointed to Ollie’s strategic position in the retail sector, benefiting from value-seeking consumers and industry disruptions. The company’s profitability metrics, such as a full-year gross margin of 40.3%, have also been highlighted as aligning with strategic objectives. These recent developments suggest a positive outlook for Ollie’s, as analysts recognize its resilience and potential for growth in a challenging retail environment.
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