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On Tuesday, TD Cowen analysts downgraded Church & Dwight Co. Inc. (NYSE:CHD) stock from Buy to Hold and reduced the price target to $100.00 from the previous $117.00. The decision followed a significant reduction in the company’s guidance for the year 2025, suggesting a slowdown in their business growth relative to peers.
Church & Dwight, known for household and personal care products, has not sustained the above-peer growth rate that was anticipated by TD Cowen when they initiated coverage last year. The analysts pointed out that the company’s business model and categories are underperforming in comparison to expectations.
The lack of a positive catalyst for an upward trend in the U.S. market was cited as a key factor in the downgrade. Additionally, Church & Dwight’s minimal presence in higher-growth international markets was highlighted as a concern for the company’s future growth prospects.
TD Cowen also noted Church & Dwight’s valuation premium compared to its peers, implying that the stock may be overvalued given the current business outlook. This valuation, paired with the revised expectations, led to the conclusion that a Hold rating is now appropriate for Church & Dwight stock.
The new price target of $100.00 represents a downward revision from the previous target of $117.00, reflecting the analysts’ recalibrated expectations for the company’s stock performance.
In other recent news, Church & Dwight Company Inc. reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, revealing a mixed performance with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.91, slightly surpassing the forecast of $0.90, but a revenue shortfall at $1.47 billion against the anticipated $1.51 billion. The revenue miss has prompted analysts to adjust their outlooks, with UBS lowering its price target for the company from $110 to $102 while maintaining a Neutral rating, and Jefferies reducing its target from $108 to $100, retaining a Hold rating. These revisions reflect concerns over Church & Dwight’s reduced full-year 2025 guidance, indicating a challenging market environment with slower category growth and tariff impacts. Despite these setbacks, the company anticipates EPS growth in the latter half of the year through improvements in volumes and productivity. Church & Dwight has also announced strategic alternatives for certain product lines to mitigate tariff impacts, signaling a focus on innovation and strategic realignment. Analysts from UBS have suggested a cautious approach, noting the company’s heavy reliance on improvements in the second half of the year amidst various challenges. Investors are closely monitoring these developments as Church & Dwight navigates through a difficult economic landscape.
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