TD Cowen holds Celsius stock with $37 target post-modeling call

Published 29/05/2025, 14:20
TD Cowen holds Celsius stock with $37 target post-modeling call

On Thursday, TD Cowen maintained its Hold rating on shares of Celsius Holdings (NASDAQ:CELH) with an unchanged price target of $37.00, sitting within the broader analyst range of $30-$58. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears undervalued based on its Fair Value metrics, despite trading at high earnings and revenue multiples. The firm’s position comes after evaluating the company’s recent pro-forma Alani Nu modeling call, which provided insights into the expected financial performance and strategic initiatives.

The company’s financial outlook for fiscal year 2025, including margin predictions, appeared to align with the broader market consensus. InvestingPro data shows strong fundamentals with a "GREAT" financial health score and impressive revenue growth forecast of 61% for FY2025. Analysts noted that the projections did not present any significant surprises that would alter their stance on the stock. They acknowledged that the difference between actual sales growth and scanner data trends might continue to exhibit unpredictability. This volatility is attributed to the limited-time-offer (LTO) centric approach of Alani Nu’s business operations.

Celsius Holdings is anticipated to achieve run-rate synergies amounting to $50 million within the forthcoming two years. This expectation is based on the company’s strategic plans and operational efficiencies forecasted during the modeling call.

The current price target reflects the firm’s assessment of Celsius Holdings’ market position, financial health, and future prospects. TD Cowen’s reiteration of the Hold rating indicates a neutral outlook on the stock, suggesting that the analysts see the company’s shares as fairly valued at the current levels given the available information.

In other recent news, Celsius Holdings reported its Q1 2025 earnings, revealing a slight miss on both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue forecasts. The company posted an EPS of $0.18, below the expected $0.20, and revenue of $329.3 million, which did not meet the anticipated $348.62 million. Despite the earnings shortfall, Celsius Holdings noted a 41% growth in international revenue and an expansion of its gross margin by 110 basis points to 52.3%. Meanwhile, TD Cowen raised its price target for Celsius Holdings to $37.00, maintaining a Hold rating, while BofA Securities kept its Underperform rating with a $30.00 target, citing complexities in the company’s first-quarter results. Additionally, Celsius Holdings announced the approval of new stock plans and an increase in authorized shares from 300 million to 400 million, following its recent Annual Meeting of Stockholders. The integration of Alani Nu into Celsius’s portfolio is also expected to energize the company’s narrative, though analysts from both TD Cowen and BofA Securities await further details on this combination’s financial impact. These developments are part of Celsius Holdings’ ongoing strategy to drive growth and enhance shareholder value.

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