Truist lifts Ally Financial stock target to $47, maintains buy

Published 27/01/2025, 17:30
Truist lifts Ally Financial stock target to $47, maintains buy

On Monday, Truist Securities updated its financial outlook for Ally Financial Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:ALLY), increasing the price target from $42.00 to $47.00 while reiterating a Buy rating on the stock. Currently trading at $39.34, Ally's stock sits between analysts' targets ranging from $34 to $56. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears slightly undervalued based on its Fair Value model, with analysts projecting a 12% upside potential. The adjustment follows revised earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the coming years, with a 2025 expected EPS of $3.86 and a 2026 forecast of $5.75.

The firm also modified its tangible book value per share (TBVPS) estimates, setting a 2025 expectation at $41 and a 2026 projection at $47. The new price target is based on the updated 2026 TBVPS estimate and a next twelve months (NTM) price to tangible book value (P/TBV) multiple of 1.0x. Currently, Ally trades at a price-to-book ratio of 1.04x, while maintaining a consistent dividend history spanning 10 consecutive years, with a current yield of 3.08%.

Truist Securities attributes the changes primarily to improved projections for charge-offs and provision expenses. These favorable adjustments are somewhat balanced by a forecast for lower net interest income, reduced other revenues, and increased noninterest expenses. The updated TBVPS figures are partly due to the benefits anticipated from the sale of credit card loans. InvestingPro data reveals that Ally maintains a "Fair" overall financial health score, with particularly strong performance in price momentum and relative value metrics. For deeper insights into Ally's financial health and additional ProTips, check out the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

The analysis also includes modeled consolidated net charge-offs (NCOs) at 1.36% and retail auto NCOs at 2.08%. These figures sit at the lower end of the management's guidance range, which is between 1.35%-1.50% for consolidated NCOs and 2.00%-2.25% for retail auto NCOs. The firm indicates that these numbers reflect a fast-paced improvement in credit conditions, supporting the company's profitable status over the last twelve months with a return on equity of 5%.

In other recent news, Ally Financial has reported exceeding analyst expectations in its fourth-quarter earnings and revenue results. The company announced adjusted earnings per share of $0.78 and revenue of $2.1 billion. Analysts from TD Cowen, RBC Capital, Jefferies, and Citi have responded to these developments with adjusted price targets and maintained ratings.

Strategic operational changes were also disclosed by Ally Financial, including the sale of its Credit Card business and the cessation of new mortgage loan applications. These changes, coupled with a workforce reduction expected to generate over $60 million in annual savings, are part of the recent developments shaping the company's trajectory.

Ally Financial's consumer auto originations reached $10.3 billion in the quarter, with the highest credit quality tier accounting for 49% of this volume. The company's retail deposits grew by $2.0 billion quarter-over-quarter, with a customer retention rate exceeding 95%. Ally Bank now serves 3.3 million depositors with $143 billion in balances, 92% of which are FDIC insured.

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