UBS downgrades Mineral Resources stock to Sell despite raising price target

Published 12/08/2025, 11:58
UBS downgrades Mineral Resources stock to Sell despite raising price target

Investing.com - UBS downgraded Mineral Resources Limited (ASX:MIN) from Neutral to Sell on Tuesday, while simultaneously raising its price target to AUD37.40 from AUD26.00.

The mining services and lithium producer has seen its stock price surge approximately 40% over the past month, prompting UBS to issue the downgrade on valuation concerns despite acknowledging operational improvements.

UBS noted that Mineral Resources is "delivering" with its Onslow project ramping up, implementing cost reductions in its lithium operations, and maintaining strong performance in mining services. The company is also making "necessary and significant progress" on its governance overhaul.

The firm highlighted that Mineral Resources now trades at approximately 16 times enterprise value to EBITDA based on consensus FY25 EBITDA estimates, compared to its five-year trailing average of about 8 times, making the stock appear expensive at current levels.

UBS raised its earnings per share forecast by 36% for FY26 and reduced its weighted average cost of capital to 9.3% from 10.3%, citing improved operational performance observed in the June quarter and an upgraded lithium price outlook.

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