UBS downgrades Neoenergia stock to Neutral after 48% YTD rally

Published 09/10/2025, 06:38
UBS downgrades Neoenergia stock to Neutral after 48% YTD rally

Investing.com - UBS downgraded Neoenergia SA (NEOE3:BZ) from Buy to Neutral on Thursday while raising its price target to R$32.50 from R$31.00, citing limited further upside after the stock’s 48% year-to-date rally.

The Brazilian energy company’s shares have grown into UBS’s previous Buy rating, according to the investment bank. The new price target implies a 7.8x 2027 P/E multiple, which aligns with Neoenergia’s historical averages.

UBS has updated its model for Neoenergia to incorporate Public Hearing 62, the renewal of the Pernambuco concession, an additional R$6 billion in capital expenditures for 2025-2029, and the acquisition of an additional stake in Corumba III.

The investment bank believes Neoenergia is at a turning point after completing construction of its transmission lines and should begin to deleverage its balance sheet.

UBS expects Neoenergia to become a larger dividend generator in the near future, with estimated dividend yields of 5.1% in 2026 and 7.8% in 2027, though it considers these potential returns already priced into the current stock value.

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