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Investing.com - Wolfe Research has reiterated its Underperform rating and $86.00 price target on PACCAR (NASDAQ:PCAR), a $52 billion market cap machinery company, ahead of its upcoming earnings call. According to InvestingPro data, the stock appears overvalued at current levels, with 5 analysts recently revising their earnings estimates downward.
The truck manufacturer’s stock was trading down 3%-4% in pre-market activity as investors await fourth-quarter guidance on truck deliveries and gross margins that will be provided during today’s call.
Wolfe Research’s current fourth-quarter earnings per share estimate of $1.04 falls significantly below the consensus estimate of $1.20, though the firm notes its projection does not account for recently announced tariff rebates revealed over the weekend.
The research firm is currently modeling 31,000 truck deliveries and gross margins of 12.5% for the fourth quarter, while suggesting that if PACCAR can guide to higher gross margins with the new rebates, it could help establish a trough for earnings per share.
Wolfe Research also indicated that while it continues to expect downward pressure on new truck deliveries, PACCAR could be positioned for market share gains following the implementation of new 25% tariffs on imported trucks.
In other recent news, PACCAR reported its third-quarter earnings, revealing a mixed financial performance. The company announced earnings per share of $1.12, which fell short of the consensus estimate of $1.15, although it exceeded Morgan Stanley’s prediction of $1.04. Revenue for the quarter was $6.67 billion, surpassing the consensus forecast of $6.18 billion. Despite this revenue beat, total Truck, Parts & Other sales decreased by 20.7% to $6.107 billion, slightly below expectations of $6.163 billion. Analysts from Truist Securities have maintained their Hold rating on PACCAR with a price target of $97.00, while Morgan Stanley has kept an Equalweight rating with a $90.00 price target. These ratings reflect the mixed results, with earnings missing some expectations but revenue showing strength. The company’s earnings per share also represent a 39% year-over-year decline. These developments indicate a complex financial landscape for PACCAR as it navigates market expectations and performance metrics.
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