PRECIOUS-Gold firms as recession fears bolster safe-haven bids

Published 15/08/2019, 11:30
© Reuters.  PRECIOUS-Gold firms as recession fears bolster safe-haven bids
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* SPDR Gold holdings jump 0.9% on Wednesday

* U.S. retail sales data expected at 1230 GMT

(Adds comments, details and updates prices)

By Eileen Soreng

Aug 15 (Reuters) - Gold extended gains on Thursday after

climbing 1% in the previous session, as concerns that an

inversion in the U.S. government bond yield curve was signalling

recession fuelled interest in the metal as a haven from risk.

At the day's peak of $1,523.91, gold was back to within $11

of Tuesday's six-year high, hit on fears of a global downturn as

investors fretted over a U.S.-China trade war, unrest in Hong

Kong and a slide in emerging-market assets.

Spot gold XAU= was up 0.2% at $1,519.71 per ounce by 0946

GMT, while U.S. gold futures GCcv1 were up 0.2% at $1,530.60.

The slide in government bond yields has been an alarming

signal in terms of recession fears, said Norbert Ruecker, head

of economics and next-generation research at Julius Baer.

"The overall uncertainty from the trade dispute is high and

we also expect some central bank action for recession-fighting

to come over the next weeks and months," Ruecker said. "This

should support the gold price at current levels."

The U.S. yield curve was inverted for a second straight

trading session on Thursday. The yield curve inversion, which

has historically signalled a looming recession, triggered an

extensive flight to safety. US/

World shares held at 2-1/2-month lows, though Wall Street

was set for a firmer open as investors bet the U.S. Federal

Reserve and other central banks would respond strongly to

recession warnings emanating from bond markets. MKTS/GLOB

On the trade front, senior U.S. officials on Wednesday said

China has made no concessions after Washington delayed tariffs

on some Chinese imports, the latest sign that the trade saga is

going nowhere. Spot gold has gained over 8%, or more than $100, since the

beginning of the month amid the heightened trade tensions and a

slew of disappointing economic data globally.

"We think gold could rise to as much as $1,580-$1,600 over

the remainder of the year – we think risks are skewed to the

upside and would not rule out a temporary breach of the upper

end of that range," analysts at UBS said in a note.

Markets are awaiting U.S. retail sales data due later in the

day, which could further hint at the strength of the world's

largest economy.

Indicative of investor interest, holdings of the world's

largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust (P:GLD) GLD ,

rose 0.9% to 844.29 tonnes on Wednesday. GOL/ETF

Elsewhere, silver XAG= rose 0.3% to $17.26 per ounce.

Platinum XPT= dipped 0.1% to $839.33 an ounce and

palladium XPD= was 0.1% higher at $1,425.77.

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