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Deutsche Bank maintains buy on Monster Beverage stock, target at $61

Published 01/11/2024, 15:58
MNST
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On Friday, Deutsche Bank affirmed a positive stance on Monster Beverage (NASDAQ:MNST), maintaining a Buy rating with a steady price target of $61.00. The firm's assessment comes as Monster Beverage prepares to release its third-quarter earnings, with expectations that align closely with the general consensus, though slightly conservative on revenue projections.

The analysis highlights that despite soft trends in U.S. tracked channels, there are potential positive factors such as sales in untracked outlets and the introduction of the new Ultra Vice Guava flavor during the quarter. The company's performance in Europe is noted to be strong, and improvements in production in Germany and South Korea are expected to offset weaker spots in Latin America.

For October, Deutsche Bank's base case predicts high single to low double-digit growth in gross sales on a reported basis. This forecast includes an additional selling day and a low single-digit negative impact from foreign exchange rates, resulting in a mid-single-digit growth rate when adjusted for currency effects. The new Ultra Vice Guava and pre-pricing actions in November are anticipated to contribute positively to this outlook.

Investors are expected to keep a watchful eye on trends in scanned channel data, particularly focusing on the elasticity of demand, promotional effectiveness, and market share dynamics for the Monster brand, especially in light of the recent product innovation and pricing strategies.

In other recent news, Monster Beverage Corporation (NASDAQ:MNST) reported a moderate increase in net sales, reaching a record $1.9 billion, a 2.5% rise from the previous year, despite challenges in the U.S. energy drink market.

The company also announced a 5% price increase on core brands and packages in the United States, set to take effect in the future. Additionally, Monster Beverage Corporation has initiated a $500 million stock buyback program following the completion of the company's previous repurchase program.

On the analyst front, Evercore ISI maintained an Outperform rating on Monster Beverage, citing the company's appealing valuation as a primary factor for the positive medium-term outlook. However, Roth/MKM adjusted its outlook on Monster Beverage, reducing the price target from $56.00 to $50.00, while maintaining a neutral rating.

These recent developments provide a snapshot of the current market conditions impacting Monster Beverage's key product categories.

InvestingPro Insights

As Monster Beverage (NASDAQ:MNST) approaches its third-quarter earnings release, InvestingPro data provides additional context to Deutsche Bank's analysis. The company's revenue growth of 10.38% over the last twelve months aligns with the bank's expectations of continued growth, albeit at a potentially slower pace in the upcoming quarter.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Monster Beverage holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which could provide financial flexibility as the company navigates market challenges and pursues growth opportunities. This strong financial position is particularly relevant given Deutsche Bank's observations on Monster's expansion in Europe and production improvements in various regions.

Another InvestingPro Tip notes that management has been aggressively buying back shares, which may signal confidence in the company's future prospects and could potentially support the stock price. This information complements the overall positive outlook presented in the article.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 9 additional tips that could provide further insights into Monster Beverage's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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