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On Friday, Needham maintained a Buy rating on shares of DoubleVerify (NYSE:DV) but lowered the price target to $22 from $33. The adjustment comes as the firm revises its growth expectations for the company's Measurement and Activation segments.
The firm now projects DoubleVerify's revenue for FY25 to be $770 million, which represents a 15% year-over-year increase but is 6% below the previous estimate. The adjusted EBITDA forecast stands at $239 million, up 13% year-over-year, but 7% lower than the prior estimate. The EPS is anticipated to grow by 32% year-over-year to $0.50, which is 22% beneath the previous estimate.
The revised forecasts for DoubleVerify's individual segments indicate a shift in growth expectations. The Measurement segment is now expected to generate $270.7 million in revenue, marking a 16% year-over-year growth, which is 3% below the earlier estimate. The Activation segment revenue is projected at $443.6 million, up by 15% year-over-year, but 9% less than the previous forecast. The Supply-Side revenue remains unchanged at $55.6 million, showing a 10% year-over-year increase.
The reduction in the 12-month price target to $22 from $33 reflects the updated revenue and earnings projections. The firm cites the adjustments to the growth rates in DoubleVerify's Measurement and Activation segments as the primary reason for the lowered price target.
In other recent news, DoubleVerify Holdings Inc. reported a 17% increase in Q2 revenue to $156 million, along with an 83% gross margin and $47 million in adjusted EBITDA. This growth was driven by strong performance in social and Connected TV measurement and a growing supply side platform business.
Truist Securities and Canaccord Genuity have revised their stock price targets for DoubleVerify, with Truist Securities reducing it to $26.00 from $32.00, and Canaccord Genuity lowering it to $36.00 from $40.00, while both firms maintained a Buy rating.
DoubleVerify's recent developments also include the introduction of its Inflammatory Politics and News category on Meta (NASDAQ:META), which is designed to protect advertisers from aligning with controversial content. This new feature is supported by DoubleVerify's Universal Content Intelligence, an AI-powered engine that ensures precise content categorization across the platform.
The company has also established new partnerships and anticipates a positive revenue impact starting early 2025 following the closure of competing services like Oracle (NYSE:ORCL)'s Moat and Grapeshot.
The company's growth strategies were highlighted during investor meetings, including expansion into social media properties, adoption of new pre-bid optimization products, and scaling in international markets. Despite the revised stock price targets, analysts from both Truist Securities and Canaccord Genuity expect DoubleVerify to continue outperforming its closest peer and the overall digital advertising industry. These are the recent developments for DoubleVerify.
InvestingPro Insights
In light of Needham's revised projections for DoubleVerify, current InvestingPro data reveals additional insights that could inform investors. DoubleVerify's market capitalization stands at approximately $2.93 billion, and the company is trading at a high P/E ratio of 47.99, suggesting a premium valuation relative to its current earnings. Despite the premium valuation, DoubleVerify boasts an impressive gross profit margin of over 82% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, indicating strong profitability in its core operations.
InvestingPro Tips highlight that DoubleVerify holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which is a solid indicator of financial health, and that analysts have revised their earnings estimates upwards for the upcoming period. These factors, combined with the fact that the stock is trading near its 52-week low and is considered oversold according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), could signal potential for investors looking for an entry point.
For those interested in a deeper analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/DV, which could provide further guidance on DoubleVerify's financial health and market position.
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