Fortinet stock target increased, keeps rating on margin outlook

Published 23/09/2024, 15:02
Fortinet stock target increased, keeps rating on margin outlook


On Monday, HSBC raised its price target on shares of Fortinet (NASDAQ:FTNT) to $83.00, up from the previous target of $59.00, while retaining a Hold rating on the stock. The adjustment comes as the analyst acknowledges Fortinet's superior performance in maintaining and enhancing its profit margins compared to its competitors.

Fortinet has demonstrated a notable non-GAAP operating margin after share-based compensation of 25.1% in CY23, which stands out against the margins of CrowdStrike (NASDAQ:CRWD) and Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), at 0.9% and 6.2% respectively. This performance has led to a revision of long-term margin expectations for the cybersecurity firm.

Concerns had been raised about Fortinet's ability to further expand its operating margins, particularly as competitors have been offering some modules for free to promote a platform strategy. Despite these challenges, Fortinet has reported margin improvements in the first half of CY24.

The management's guidance has been a significant factor in the revised price target, as it reflects confidence in the company's expense management capabilities. Fortinet's focused approach to profitability has been a key driver in its ability to sustain and potentially increase its margin advantage over peers in the industry.

In other recent news, Fortinet Inc., a leader in cybersecurity solutions, has seen its price target raised by several firms, including CFRA and Citi, due to promising growth prospects. CFRA maintained a buy rating while increasing its price target from $73.00 to $84.00, based on a positive outlook for the company's forward price-to-earnings multiple and an increased earnings per share estimate for 2025.

Meanwhile, Citi raised its price target from $66.00 to $76.00, maintaining a neutral rating, after a meeting with Fortinet's CFO and CMO that increased the firm's confidence in the company's growth prospects.

Despite a recent data breach involving unauthorized access to customer data files, Fortinet assured that less than 0.3% of its customers were affected and the data involved was limited. CFRA believes that the breach is unlikely to significantly impact Fortinet's financial results or outlook.

In terms of financial performance, Fortinet exceeded its revenue guidance for the second quarter of 2024, achieving record operating margins of 35%. The company's financial results were bolstered by significant investments in the Unified SASE and Secure Ops markets, with acquisitions of Lacework and Next DLP contributing to its growth.

However, Guggenheim downgraded Fortinet due to the company failing to meet or lower its financial targets over the past three consecutive quarters. Investors will be watching Fortinet's progress in the areas of service revenue and firewall demand, as these will be critical in determining the company's ability to meet or exceed the market's performance expectations going forward. These are the recent developments concerning Fortinet.


InvestingPro Insights


Fortinet (NASDAQ:FTNT) has been a standout performer in the cybersecurity sector, and recent data from InvestingPro underscores this trend. With a gross profit margin of 78.09% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, the company has shown impressive profitability. This aligns with HSBC's acknowledgement of Fortinet's superior performance in maintaining and enhancing profit margins. Fortinet's market capitalization stands at $59.0 billion, reflecting its substantial presence in the market.

Investors should note that Fortinet is trading at a high earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 44.8 and a slightly higher adjusted P/E ratio of 45.05 for the same period. While this indicates a premium valuation, it's important to consider the company's consistent revenue growth, which was 11.02% year-over-year as of the last twelve months. Moreover, Fortinet has shown a strong return over the last three months, with a 31.11% price total return, suggesting robust investor confidence.

For those seeking deeper insights, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Fortinet, including analysis on valuation multiples and profitability forecasts. With more tips available at InvestingPro, investors can gain a comprehensive understanding of Fortinet's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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