Kraft Heinz Q1 2025 slides: Sales decline amid headwinds, efficiency gains continue

Published 29/04/2025, 12:20
© Reuters.

Executive Summary

Kraft Heinz Co (NASDAQ:KHC) reported declining sales and profits in its Q1 2025 business update presentation on April 29, 2025, but maintained that results were "in line with expectations" as the company continues to navigate macroeconomic challenges. Despite the pressure on top-line performance, the company highlighted its progress on strategic initiatives, strong cash flow generation, and ongoing efficiency programs.

The food giant reported a 4.7% decline in organic net sales to $6.1 billion, with adjusted EPS falling 10.1% to $0.62. However, free cash flow increased slightly by 1.0% to $482 million, demonstrating the company’s ability to maintain financial flexibility in a challenging environment.

Financial Performance

Kraft Heinz’s Q1 2025 results showed pressure across most key financial metrics compared to the prior year. The 4.7% decline in organic net sales was driven by a 5.6 percentage point volume decrease, partially offset by a 0.9 percentage point price increase. Adjusted gross profit margin contracted slightly by 10 basis points to 34.4%, while constant currency adjusted operating income fell 4.4% to $1.2 billion.

The company’s adjusted EPS of $0.62 represented a 10.1% decline from the prior year, which management attributed primarily to tax headwinds. Despite these challenges, free cash flow grew by 1.0% to $482 million, providing continued financial flexibility.

The performance varied significantly across business segments. North America Retail ACCELERATE Platforms saw organic net sales decrease by 8.1%, with management noting a 110 basis point impact from the timing of Easter. Global Away From Home business showed more resilience with organic net sales declining just 0.8%, benefiting from recovery in Brazil. A bright spot was Emerging Markets, where organic net sales increased by 3.9%, reflecting continued improvement throughout early 2025.

Strategic Initiatives

CEO Carlos Abrams-Rivera emphasized the company’s commitment to its long-term strategy despite near-term challenges. Kraft Heinz is focusing on four strategic priorities for 2025: unlocking efficiencies, reinvesting in the business with iconic taste, powering brand superiority, and accelerating profitable growth.

The company reported meaningful progress across its strategic initiatives, including being on track to deliver $2.5 billion in efficiencies by 2027, with $1.5 billion already unlocked between 2023 and Q1 2025. Operational effectiveness has improved, with Overall Equipment Effectiveness reaching 70% in Q1 2025, a 5 percentage point increase from 65% in 2023.

A key component of Kraft Heinz’s strategy is its Brand Growth System, which the company is scaling across its portfolio. The system focuses on brand resonance, product and package delivery, value equation, and omnichannel execution to identify areas for investment to drive brand and product superiority. By the end of 2025, the company expects approximately 40% of sales to be covered by the system, up from roughly 10% in 2024.

Brand Highlights

The presentation highlighted several brand success stories despite the challenging environment. Kraft Heinz is committed to maintaining its #1 market share position in Lunchables through product innovation, including the upcoming launch of Spicy Nachos in Q2, which has shown a 32% sales increase in test markets. The company is also increasing national media spend for the brand by 2x for Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024.

Capri Sun is experiencing what management described as an "amazing turnaround," with approximately 8 percentage points of sales improvement from 2024 to 2025. The brand has benefited from improvements in core product taste and ingredients, as well as the introduction of single-serve bottles that have achieved front store velocity approximately 4x higher than the original velocity.

Other brand highlights included Mac & Cheese reaching its highest level of Total (EPA:TTEF) Shapes Sales in the last 5 years, with new flavors like Smoky BBQ launching soon. The company also reported strong growth across several categories in North America ACCELERATE, including Pasta Sauce (+5%), Canada Frozen Meals (+7%), Primal Kitchen (+10%), and Mexican Foods & Sauces (+15%).

Outlook & Guidance

Kraft Heinz updated its 2025 outlook to reflect what it described as "rising macroeconomic headwinds and uncertainty." The company now projects organic net sales growth of 1.5% to 3.5% for the full year, with adjusted EPS expected to range from $2.51 to $2.67.

CFO Andre Maciel emphasized that productivity savings are helping to mitigate inflation pressures, with gross efficiencies of approximately $150 million generated in the quarter. The company continues to work toward its efficiency goals while selectively investing in key growth areas.

Balance Sheet & Capital Allocation

Kraft Heinz highlighted its strong balance sheet as providing better positioning in uncertain times. The company has significantly reduced its net leverage ratio, which management views as a strategic advantage in the current environment.

The company returned approximately $900 million to shareholders, demonstrating its commitment to capital returns while maintaining financial flexibility. Management emphasized their focus on being "excellent stewards of capital" with a balanced approach to maintaining a healthy balance sheet while returning capital to stockholders.

The Q1 2025 presentation suggests Kraft Heinz is navigating a challenging consumer environment by focusing on operational efficiency, brand innovation, and selective investments in growth areas, while maintaining financial discipline. Despite near-term headwinds, management expressed confidence in the company’s long-term strategy and ability to drive sustainable growth.

Full presentation:

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