Maxim Group cuts Roadzen stock target, maintains buy on earnings beat

Published 31/07/2024, 14:18
Maxim Group cuts Roadzen stock target, maintains buy on earnings beat

On Wednesday, Maxim Group adjusted its stock price target for Roadzen Inc. (NASDAQ:RDZN), a company that provides AI solutions for the auto insurance industry, to $7.00 from the previous target of $10.00. Despite this change, the firm retained a Buy rating on the stock.

This decision follows the announcement of Roadzen's fiscal year 2024 results on July 1, which displayed a significant 254% year-over-year increase in fourth-quarter revenue. Both revenue and earnings for the quarter surpassed the firm's estimates.

The analyst from Maxim Group highlighted Roadzen's strong performance and the company's successful implementation of disruptive technologies. The firm anticipates further growth for Roadzen, projecting revenue increases of 57% year-over-year in fiscal year 2025 and 44% year-over-year in fiscal year 2026. The expectation is that the company's adjusted EBITDA will turn positive by the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025.

Roadzen ended March with $11.2 million in cash reserves. The firm's analysis suggests that Roadzen may not need to seek additional capital for its organic growth. The current enterprise value to projected calendar year 2025 revenue (EV/C25E revenue) ratio for Roadzen stands at 1.1x, which is notably lower than the median of its peer group at 4.6x.

The reduction in the price target to $7.00 aligns with the median of Roadzen's peer group. The adjustment is also a result of an increase in the discount rate used in the discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation analysis—from 18% to 23%. This change reflects the potential regulatory risks associated with Roadzen's Guaranteed Asset Protection (GAP) insurance product in the United Kingdom and the extended warranty product in India.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro shows that Roadzen Inc. (NASDAQ:RDZN) is navigating a challenging financial landscape. The company's market capitalization currently stands at $104.03 million, indicating a relatively small size within the sector. Despite a remarkable revenue growth of 244.56% in the last twelve months as of Q4 2024, the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remains negative at -0.95, reflecting investor concerns about its profitability. Additionally, the stock has experienced a significant decline, trading near its 52-week low with a price that is only 8.94% of the high.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that analysts are optimistic about Roadzen's sales growth in the current year, which aligns with the strong revenue performance highlighted in the article. However, the company is quickly burning through cash, and its short-term obligations exceed liquid assets, which may raise concerns about its financial stability.

Furthermore, the stock's high price volatility and the fact that analysts do not expect the company to be profitable this year are factors investors should consider. For those looking to dive deeper into Roadzen's financials, InvestingPro offers a comprehensive suite of additional tips—there are 14 InvestingPro Tips available that can provide further guidance on the stock's prospects.

To gain more insights and access to all the InvestingPro Tips for Roadzen Inc., interested readers can visit https://www.investing.com/pro/RDZN and use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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