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Wells Fargo initiates FedEx stock at equal weight, prefers UPS

Published 07/06/2024, 13:54
FDX
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On Friday, Wells Fargo began coverage on shares of FedEx (NYSE:FDX), assigning an Equal Weight rating and establishing a price target of $275.00.

The firm expressed a preference for UPS over FedEx due to several near-term uncertainties surrounding FedEx, including its fiscal 2025 guidance, the integration of its Express and Ground services, the recent loss of a USPS contract, and ongoing negotiations with FedEx pilots.

Despite a 5% drop in FedEx's stock value since the third-quarter earnings report, which contrasts with a 1% gain in the S&P 500 during the same period, Wells Fargo suggests waiting for these issues to resolve before adopting a more positive stance on the company. The $275 price target for FedEx is derived from a 13 times price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple based on the firm's calendar year 2025 earnings per share estimate.

The analyst noted that while FedEx has been facing challenges, the narrative for UPS is currently more compelling in the near term. Wells Fargo holds an Overweight rating on UPS, with a current price of $137.57. The firm's position reflects a cautious outlook on FedEx until the mentioned uncertainties are addressed and there is a clearer path forward for the company.

The guidance and ratings provided by Wells Fargo are part of the broader financial analysis conducted by the firm on companies within the logistics and delivery sector. As the market processes this new information, it remains to be seen how FedEx will navigate through the highlighted challenges and what strategies it will employ to enhance shareholder value in the coming years.

In other recent news, FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) has been the focus of various analyst notes and legal developments. FedEx's strategic initiatives to reduce long-term costs and a recovery in the air freight industry have been highlighted by analysts.

The company's loss of a major contract with the United States Postal Service (USPS) has been noted as a significant challenge, but analysts from Barclays believe that the company's cost-cutting measures could balance out this near-term headwind.

The company's long-term earnings per share (EPS) growth target of 15% for FY25 is viewed positively by analysts, despite the potential headwinds. Analyst firms have adjusted their outlooks on the company, with JPMorgan and UBS reducing their price targets to $296 and $333 respectively, while Barclays maintains its price target at $350.

In addition to the financial analysis, FedEx is facing a legal case with PYNQ Logistics Services, a small business contracted for package delivery. The dispute, which includes allegations of racketeering, will be settled through arbitration, according to a recent decision by a federal judge.

These are among the recent developments surrounding FedEx, providing investors with a range of insights into the company's current position and future potential.

InvestingPro Insights

Analyzing the current financial landscape of FedEx (NYSE:FDX), InvestingPro data reveals a market capitalization of $61.59 billion, signifying the substantial size of the company within the Air Freight & Logistics industry. With a P/E ratio of 14.19 and an adjusted P/E ratio of 12.62 for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, FedEx is trading at an attractive valuation relative to near-term earnings growth. The company's PEG ratio during the same period stands at 0.28, which may indicate potential for future earnings growth relative to its share price.

InvestingPro Tips highlight FedEx's consistent shareholder commitment, as evidenced by its track record of raising dividends for 3 consecutive years and maintaining dividend payments for 23 consecutive years. Additionally, analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, aligning with the company's positive performance over the last twelve months. For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on FedEx, which can be accessed with a special offer: use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. In total, there are 6 additional InvestingPro Tips available for FedEx, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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