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Investing.com - Bank of America has revised its USD forecast, now predicting further weakness that could benefit emerging markets, particularly in Eastern Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EEMEA), according to a research note released on August 20, 2025.
BofA’s FX team expects the EUR/USD to reach 1.2 by the end of 2025 and 1.25 by the end of 2026, citing rising stagflationary risks as the primary driver for this outlook. The bank maintains a structurally bullish stance on EEMEA currencies, specifically recommending ZAR, CZK, PLN, and KZT in an August 19 note.
In its regional equity market rankings, Hungary has slipped from the top position due to slowing earnings and dividends growth, while Egypt maintained its leading status followed by Greece. South Africa has returned to the top three, primarily due to improving positioning, while the UAE has risen on stronger earnings outlook and improved positioning.
The bank’s top-20 stock screen is now more evenly distributed across seven markets, with South Africa’s representation reduced to nine names. Financials remain the dominant sector with nine companies in the top rankings, with Turk Telecom, PKO BP, and Absa occupying the top three positions.
Recent market data shows that despite a USD rebound and seasonal slowdown that halted several months of equity inflows to most major EEMEA markets, August data still indicates net inflows to the region as investors appear to be searching for direction ahead of fall, with Central and Eastern Europe seeing renewed inflows while Turkey and most Gulf Cooperation Council countries (excluding Saudi Arabia) experience moderate outflows.
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