Guess shares surge 65% following February Fair Value signal

Published 28/08/2025, 12:08
Guess shares surge 65% following February Fair Value signal

Investing.com’s Fair Value analysis has once again demonstrated its power to identify significant market opportunities. In February 2025, our models flagged Guess?, Inc. (NYSE:GES) as significantly undervalued, leading to a remarkable 65.65% return over just six months. This success story exemplifies how our Fair Value methodology helps investors identify optimal entry points and understand a stock’s intrinsic value. For investors seeking similar opportunities, our Most undervalued list continues to highlight promising investments across the market.

Guess?, a global lifestyle brand specializing in contemporary apparel and accessories, showed strong fundamental potential when our models identified the opportunity. At the time, the company reported annual revenue of $2.99 billion and EBITDA of $247.5 million, despite experiencing a challenging period with its stock down 21.3% in February 2025. Our Fair Value analysis indicated a significant upside potential of 50.59% from the then-trading price of $10.16.

The subsequent performance validated our analysis comprehensively. From the February signal through August 2025, GES shares climbed steadily to reach $16.83, delivering a total return of 65.65%. This appreciation was supported by strong fundamental performance, with the company’s revenue growing to $3.05 billion in the most recent quarter. The stock’s movement was particularly impressive given its previous downward trend, demonstrating the accuracy of our Fair Value assessment.

Recent developments have further supported the investment thesis. Guess? beat second-quarter estimates, driven by robust European revenue growth. The company has attracted attention from potential acquirers, with WHP Global expressing interest in a possible deal. Additionally, several analysts have revised their price targets upward, with Telsey raising its target to $16.75.

InvestingPro’s Fair Value methodology combines multiple valuation approaches, including discounted cash flow analysis, peer comparisons, and analyst consensus targets. This comprehensive approach helps identify mispriced securities before the broader market recognizes the opportunity. The success of the Guess? analysis demonstrates the effectiveness of this multi-faceted valuation strategy.

For investors looking to identify similar opportunities before the market catches up, InvestingPro offers real-time access to our Fair Value analyses across thousands of stocks. With features like financial health scores, earnings forecasts, and proprietary valuation metrics, InvestingPro subscribers gain a significant advantage in identifying undervalued opportunities before major price movements occur.

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