Bunge Global SA (NYSE: NYSE:BG) has released its financial results for the second quarter of 2024, demonstrating a strong adjusted EBIT and a positive margin environment in certain regions. The company is advancing through the regulatory approval process for its merger with Viterra and expects the transaction to conclude in the coming months. Bunge has updated its full-year adjusted EPS projection to roughly $9.25 and remains dedicated to reinforcing its core businesses and rewarding stakeholders.
Key Takeaways
- Bunge Global SA reported solid adjusted EBIT in Q2 2024.
- The company expects to close the Viterra transaction within months.
- Full-year adjusted EPS forecast is set at approximately $9.25.
- Over 5,000 acres of winter canola were harvested, with plans to expand to 35,000 acres.
- Bunge tested a blockchain-based traceability platform for sustainable soy with CP Foods.
- The company faces low liquidity and visibility in Q3 and Q4 but is largely covered for Q3.
- They are performing well in the refined products segment with favorable demand.
- No share repurchases until post-Viterra transaction; CapEx expected to be around $2 billion next year.
- Confidence expressed in the evolution of farmer selling and market execution.
Company Outlook
- Bunge remains focused on meeting the growing consumer demand for energy and sustainability.
- The company plans to drive additional revenue streams for farmers.
- They are confident in the financials reported by Viterra and the transaction price for divesting non-core business.
Bearish Highlights
- The company acknowledges the lack of liquidity and visibility in the upcoming quarters.
- Bunge did not experience the robust margins seen by others in the industry.
- They are operating below baseline and predict market transitions that may pressure margins.
Bullish Highlights
- Bunge has successfully expanded its canola operations and aims to increase acreage significantly.
- The company has secured financing for the Viterra transaction.
- Bunge's refined products segment is benefiting from a favorable mix for oil demand and improvements in energy demand and cocoa butter supply.
Misses
- Lower soybean meal exports to Europe impacted the company, although it resulted in strong margins in that region.
- There is a prediction of a significant drop in CapEx in 2026.
Q&A Highlights
- CEO Greg Heckman discussed the current state of farmer selling and the market's transition to a lower price environment.
- Heckman emphasized the company's ability to adapt to changing market conditions and the influence of North American crop development.
- CFO John Neppl expressed confidence in the company's performance above baseline expectations and in their preparedness for financing the Viterra deal.
In conclusion, Bunge Global SA is navigating a complex market landscape with strategic expansions, technological advancements, and a significant pending transaction with Viterra. Despite some challenges, the company's leadership conveys a strong sense of confidence in their operational capabilities and future prospects.
InvestingPro Insights
Bunge Global SA (NYSE: BG) has demonstrated resilience and strategic foresight in its latest financial results and future plans. InvestingPro data and tips provide additional insights into the company’s financial health and market position.
InvestingPro Data:
- The company boasts a market capitalization of $16.22 billion, underlining its significant presence in the industry.
- With a P/E ratio of 8.44, and an even lower adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 at 6.76, Bunge appears to be trading at a low earnings multiple.
- Bunge’s dividend yield stands at 2.37%, with a notable dividend growth of 8.8% in the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, reflecting its commitment to returning value to shareholders.
InvestingPro Tips:
- Management’s aggressive share buyback strategy is a strong vote of confidence in the company's value and future prospects.
- The company has not only maintained but also raised its dividend for 24 consecutive years, showcasing a reliable commitment to shareholder returns.
Additional insights from InvestingPro reveal that Bunge is trading at a low revenue valuation multiple and has a strong free cash flow yield. Investors might also find Bunge’s status as a prominent player in the Food Products industry and its consistent profitability over the last twelve months as compelling reasons to consider the company’s stock. It's worth noting that analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, which could signal potential growth.
For those interested in further in-depth analysis and additional InvestingPro Tips, there are 17 more tips available on Bunge Global SA at https://www.investing.com/pro/BG, providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial standing and market potential.
Full transcript - Bunge (BG) Q2 2024:
Operator: Good morning everyone and welcome to the Bunge Global SA Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Release Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today’s presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] Please also note, today's event is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the floor over to Ruth Ann Wisener. Ma'am please go ahead.
Ruth Ann Wisener: Thank you, operator and thank you for joining us this morning for our second quarter earnings call. Before we get started, I want to let you know that we have slides to accompany our discussion. These can be found in the Investor Center on our website at bunge.com, under Events & Presentations. Reconciliations of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are posted on our website as well. I'd like to direct you to Slide 2 and remind you that today's presentation includes forward-looking statements that reflect Bunge's current view with respect to future events, financial performance, and industry conditions. These forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Bunge has provided additional information in its reports on file with the SEC concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in this presentation, and we encourage you to review these factors. On the call this morning are Greg Heckman, Bunge's Chief Executive Officer; and John Neppl, Chief Financial Officer. I'll now turn the call over to Greg.
Greg Heckman: Thank you, Ruth Ann, and good morning, everyone. I want to start by thanking the team for their dedication and focus. We continue to effectively deliver on our commercial and operational priorities, making excellent progress on integration planning. I'm so impressed by this team's passion and drive, excited by the opportunities to grow our existing business, and look forward to the future combination with Viterra. Two teams are working very well together in the planning process and are identifying in many ways will be a more complete company post close. Regulatory approval process is continuing to progress. While we have the bulk of the approvals required, we are continuing to constructively engage with relevant authorities in the remaining jurisdictions. Based on ongoing discussions, we see no issues that would be material to the economics of the deal, and we expect to receive the remaining approvals and close the transaction in the next several months. Turning to our results, we delivered solid adjusted EBIT, reflecting improved margin environment in some regions during the second half of the quarter, partially offset by more muted conditions than others. Our balanced market requires a different approach. We're very proud of the team for their ability to adapt to deliver. Rest of 2024, I think the dynamics we have discussed are still in place. Demand is good, customers at both ends of the supply chain and largely in the spot market, limits visibility later in the year. We're controlling what we can amid the evolving supply/demand environment in markets around the world. We're tapping into the tremendous work we've done over the past several years to strengthen our business. Based on what we see in the markets and the forward curves today, we now expect full year adjusted EPS of approximately $9.25. I'll now hand the call over to John to walk through our financial results and outlook in more detail, and then we'll close with some additional thoughts. John?
John Neppl: Thanks Greg and good morning, everyone. Let's turn to the earnings highlights on Slide 5. Reported second quarter earnings per share was $0.48 compared to $4.09 in the second quarter of 2023. Reported results included an unfavorable mark-to-market timing difference of $0.82 per share and a negative impact of $0.43 per share related to transaction and integration costs associated with our announced business combination with Viterra. Adjusted EPS was $1.73 in the quarter versus $3.72 in the prior year. Adjusted core segment earnings before interest and taxes, or EBIT, was $519 million in the quarter, which is $893 million last year. Agribusiness, processing results of $265 million in the quarter or down from last year as higher results in Europe soy and soft seed crush, but more than offset by lower results in North and South America and Asia. Merchandising, lower results were primarily driven by global grains. Our volumes were more than offset by lower margins. Refined and specialty oils performed well, but down from a strong prior year. Higher results in Asia were more than offset by lower results in North and South America and Europe. Milling, higher results were primarily driven by South America, reflecting higher volumes and margins, both [ph] in the U.S. were in line with the prior year. Corporate and other improved from last year. The decrease in corporate expenses is largely due to lower performance-based compensation. Our results in other were primarily related to our Captive insurance program. In our non-core sugar and bioenergy joint venture, core results were due to lower Brazil ethanol prices, which more than offset higher sugar prices. Results were also negatively impacted by approximately $15 million in foreign exchange translation losses with U.S. dollar-denominated debt. Results in the prior year included a $39 million benefit, reversal of a tax valuation allowance. The first six months of the year, reported income tax expense was $147 million compared to $381 million in the prior year. The decrease is primarily due to lower pre-tax income. Net interest expense of $86 million in the quarter was in line with last year. Let's turn to Slide 6, where you can see adjusted EPS and EBIT trend over the past four years, along with the trailing 12 months. Strong performance over the period reflects a combination of favorable market environment and full execution by our team. The more recent trend reflects more balanced and less volatile markets, translating into lower earnings. Slide 7 details our capital allocation. First half of the year, we generated $895 million of adjusted funds from operations. After allocating $191 million to sustaining CapEx, which includes maintenance, environmental, health, and safety, we had $704 million of discretionary cash flow available. Of this amount, we paid $191 million in dividends, invested $342 million in growth in productivity related CapEx, half of which relates to our large multiyear greenfield investments, and repurchased $400 million of Bunge shares. This resulted in a use of $229 million of previously retained cash flow. We are in progress on our greenfield products. We could end the year with the higher end of our CapEx range of $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion, or perhaps slightly above. However, this would reduce our 2025 expectations. Moving to Slide 8. Quarter end readily marketable inventories, or RMI, exceeded our net debt by approximately $3 billion. Our adjusted leverage ratio, which reflects our adjusted net debt to adjusted EBITDA, was 0.5 times at the end of the quarter. Slide 9 highlights our liquidity position. At quarter end, we have committed credit facilities of approximately $8.7 billion, which includes $3 billion that will become available to draw upon at the close of the Viterra transaction. With the $5.7 billion available to us currently, all was unused at the end of the quarter, providing sample liquidity to manage on our ongoing capital needs. These amounts are in addition to the $8 billion of term loan commitments that we have secured to fund the Viterra transaction. Please turn to Slide 10. Trailing 12 months adjusted ROIC was 15.2%, well above our RMI adjusted weighted average cost of capital of 7.7%. ROIC was 12.2%, well above our weighted average cost of capital of 7%. Moving to Slide 11. For the trailing 12 months, we produced discretionary cash flow approximately $1.5 billion, a cash flow yield of 13.7% compared to our cost of equity at 8.2%. Please turn to Slide 12 and our 2024 outlook. As Greg mentioned in his remarks, taking into account first half results and the current margin environment forward curves, we now expect full year 2024 adjusted EPS of approximately $9.25. Note that this forecast excludes any pending transactions that are expected to close during the year. In the Agribusiness, full year results are forecasted to be in line with our previous outlook, reflecting higher results and processing, largely offset by lower results in merchandising. Notes [ph] are expected to be down compared to last year. The refined and specialty oils full year results are expected to be up from our previous outlook, due to a better-than-expected second quarter, but down compared to last year's record performance. The milling, full year results are expected to be similar to our previous outlook and up from last year. In corporate and other, full year results are expected to be similar to our previous outlook. In non-core, full year results in our sugar and bioenergy joint venture are expected to be down slightly from our previous outlook and down significantly last year. Additionally, company expects the following for 2024; adjusted annual effective tax rate of 22% to 25%; net interest expense in the range of $280 million to $310 million; capital expenditures in the range of $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion, as I mentioned earlier; and depreciation and amortization of approximately $450 million. With that, I'll turn things back over to Greg for some closing comments.
Greg Heckman: Thanks John. So, before we go to Q&A, I just want to offer a few closing thoughts. As we look ahead, the fundamental drivers of our business remain strong. Long-term demand for our food, feed, and fuel product services continues to increase. With our global platform, we're very well-positioned to find solutions to meet the needs of our customers at both ends of the value chain regardless of the market environment. Our strategic combination with Viterra will help us accelerate our diversification, assets, geographies, and crops, providing us with even more capabilities and optionality to address the world's most pressing food security needs. As I mentioned earlier, both teams have been hard at work planning our integration and we look forward to unlocking this additional organizational capacity post close. We're also progressing on a range of other strategic initiatives that will strengthen our company for the future, including the sale of our interest in the sugar and bioenergy joint venture in Brazil to partner BP (NYSE:BP). I'm very pleased with the great work the team has done to become a leader in the industry. However, this business is not core to Bunge's long-term strategy, divesting it will allow us to focus those resources on our core businesses. We also recently completed a commercial pilot season in our effort to provide lower-carbon solutions for farmers and in consumers. Working with our partners, Corteva (NYSE:CTVA) and Chevron (NYSE:CVX), farmers planted over 5,000 acres of winter canola in the Southern U.S. After a successful harvest, the plan is to significantly increase acreage to 35,000 for the next crop year. We hope to build on these promising results to meet consumers' growing demand for energy, creating more environmentally sustainable future, driving additional revenue sources for farmers. In addition, we jointly tested a traceability platform using blockchain technology for sustainable soy with CP Foods, global leader in food and feed committed to nutritious, safe, and traceable products. We successfully shipped several vessels of deforestation-free soybean meal from Brazil to Asia, allowing CP Foods to trace the product from farm to processing and transportation, all the way to destination. This is another example of the work Bone is doing to increase transparency and reliability and end-to-end traceability of our customers fulfill their sustainability commitments. Our focus remains on delivering great value to all stakeholders, while investing to strengthen our business, so that we can provide customers with solutions, not only today, but over the longer term. And while we always look for opportunities to improve, we're well-positioned to deliver on our critical mission of connecting farmers to consumers to deliver essential food, feed, and fuel to the world. And with that, we'll turn to Q&A.
Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we'll begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from Ben Theurer from Barclays. Please go ahead with your question.
Ben Theurer: Yes, good morning Greg, John. Thanks for the presentation. And just my first question is just around understanding the drivers behind the guidance and as you look at it. If we go back three months, you sit around $9, roughly 50/50 split, which obviously, if we just do the math, we take $4.50 for the second half, add the $4.70-something now, gets us to $9.25. But clearly, from three months ago, we've seen complete different environment in crush nearby just conditions have changed. So, I just want to understand what are you seeing in the market to what feels to be coming out with a rough conservative guidance just given where crush is right now, what have you been able to lock in or not? How the volume is? And how we should think about the usual fourth quarter skew that seems to be not as pronounced this year as maybe in prior years? So, that's just -- conceptually if you could explain that to us.
Greg Heckman: Sure. Let me start and good morning. But yes, as you kind of laid out, we overperformed in the first half to what we had talked about since we were together last time. Gross margin did improve late in Q2 and that also gave us visibility into Q3 and where we have been able to lock some margins, and that gave us the confidence to roll it through. Now, that being said, Q4 margin curves are very inverted. We've got very little visibility. And while the demand oil and meal remains strong, the end customers, as everyone knows, the farmer vary spot, as well as the consumer vary spot. So, we just don't have much visibility in that Q4. And as you called out, it's historically an important one for us. So, I think had the confidence to roll it through and call it, but that's what we see now and that's why we said the approximate $9.25 million.
John Neppl: And I think, Ben, maybe just to add one. When you look at the second half, while the overall forecast for second half didn't change, we've shifted a little bit more towards Q3, where we were 40/60 before. But not a lot of shift, but probably more like 45/55 at this point. So, a slight shift to Q3 from Q4.
Ben Theurer: Okay, and that's good color. And then just on -- I know you might not be able to talk too much about it, but you've made some comments on the pending regulatory approvals with Viterra, and your conversations imply not any meaningful financial adversities as you potentially have to look into divestitures. Just wanted to see if you could give us a little bit more color on how the negotiations are going and what's like the kind of things you might be asked to do in order to get this deal over the finish line?
Greg Heckman: Sure. The team has been doing great work, and we have the majority of the jurisdictions have all issued clearances. We are currently engaging with the EU, Canada, China and then just a handful of others as we're kind of getting to the end of the process. The team has done a great job on the integration plans, on preparing for the financing, the capital structure and the plans of our leadership team. Those plans are in place. Now, as you know, we have to continue to operate as separate companies until we're able to close the transaction. But as I said, we're making progress, and we expect to include that in the next several months. Many of the current conversations are going on are confidential. But some of those timelines are rolling up on us pretty quiet as things become public, then we'll be able to share those.
Ben Theurer: Okay. Thank you very much.
Operator: Our next question comes from Adam Samuelson from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead with your question.
Adam Samuelson: Yes, thank you and good morning everyone. Maybe first question on the merchandising side Agribusiness. And so you kind of as you alluded crush margin environment has improved in the nearby, but the comments on the merchandising piece were a little bit more tempered. I guess I'd love some additional color on what you're seeing in terms of farmer selling in Brazil, in Argentina, and how those are influencing kind of your outlook for merchandising over the balance of the year. And then I got a follow-up question on the Refined Oil side.
Greg Heckman: Okay. Sure. Yes. So, if you look at Argentina, the crop definitely has recovered, right? 2023 crop was about half of what we're going to get this year. But the selling has been very slow. And part of that, of course, is the shift to lower prices. The producers don't like that. And then with the government policy that really has an economic catalyst to driven and become selling. So, it's been a very, very slow pace there. And the second half is really going to be about the FX and the government policy to see how that develops in Argentina. In Brazil, so you ended up with a combined bean and corn crop that was about 30 million metric tons lower than, I think, what the industry expected. And I think the industry had logistics in place to be able to handle that larger crop as we saw last year in some of the tightness and strains in that. And then you end up with that 30 million metric ton smaller crop and the farmer selling, again, being very spot and very opportunistic as the farmer doesn't like the lower prices. That smaller crop than drove a lot of pressure around the logistics and that's hurt margins and especially in the merchandising. And then when you take the other piece, globally, while the demand is good for meal and oil, the consumer has been rewarded for moving to the spot, right? There aren't the same challenges in the supply chain and worried about delivery. So, they pulled down inventories, they pulled down the length of their supply chain, and they've been rewarded for by the spot if prices have become lower. And so that's been a little bit tougher for the environment in merchandising as well. And then North America, again, slower farmer selling. Again, don't like the lower prices as markets become more balanced on the S&D, although we have seen the livestock margins improving there. This will really be about weather in the Northern Hemisphere. We got soybeans entering kind of a critical window and the producer generally is when they're looking out their door and what they see and how they see that develop here in North America, and you can see how the marketing will continue. And then, of course, we're also watching, in the Northern Hemisphere, the weather and temps on the canola crop there in Canada.
Adam Samuelson: That's really helpful color. And then just on the refined oil side, you talked about raising the outlook largely to reflect the second quarter performance, which the release you cited, Asia being kind of the area of year-on-year strength. Was that what surprised you relative to your expectations three months ago? And just help us think about the forward for why you don't think that strength would be persisting in the second half at quite the same level?
Greg Heckman: We received a little bit of help on the tight cocoa butter supply and our cocoa butter equivalents on our tropical oil side in the RS, so that was somewhat helpful. And then we did see some stronger energy demand, some additional energy demand come in late that we weren't expecting in the U.S. So, that was constructive. And I think when we look at the balance of the year, we don't have that visibility, but we're calling that out in the puts and takes. And I think the lower prices always drive demand, and that's, I think, true not only in the inclusion side on soybean meal, but we're seeing that drive demand in soybean oil for both food and especially on the energy side here.
Adam Samuelson: I appreciate that color. I'll pass it on. Thank you.
Operator: Our next question comes from Heather Jones from Heather Jones Research. Please go ahead with your question.
Heather Jones: Morning. Thanks for taking the question.
Greg Heckman: Good morning.
Heather Jones: I just wanted to ask about your coverage going into Q3 and Q4. Greg, you mentioned the customers and the farmers have been very slow to buy or sell. But just wondering -- because we had the soy crush in the U.S. has been markedly lower than people expected and so you had these rallies. And so as we're thinking about your Q3 and Q4, but particularly Q3, how much of that is covered? And so do you have any exposure to the robust margins that we're seeing at present?
Greg Heckman: Yes, I think if you look at Q2 and kind of the global setup, we were pretty well hedged, and a lot of that strength came very late in the quarter. Now, I'll say the team also did a great job of executing -- as they executed the crush we have on, and then closing out the balance of the open capacity that we had. As we've seen that run up late Q2, we have been able to go ahead and hedge some of Q3 and lock that in. That's what gave us the confidence to roll the overperformance there in the first half, to roll it through the year when we went to $9.25 that being said, in Q3 and Q4, there's really no liquidity yet and very low visibility. So, I think those are the keys that we'll be watching here as things develop for the late Q3 and the balance of Q4.
John Neppl: Yes. Maybe just to add there, Heather, that we're largely covered for Q3 at this point, especially on the canola side. Sun is affected a little bit by crop, so maybe not as much cover there. But really covered on soy as well here as of the end of July.
Heather Jones: Okay. And another on the Argentina side. Just was wondering if you could help us understand, not only more outlook but also what happened in Q2. Because I had repeatedly heard from those in the industry and just read that there were periods during the quarter where cash margins were some of the best that industry has ever experienced. And it was around time when the farmer would sell. But clearly, you all are talking -- your commentary is very different from that. So, I was just wondering if you could help me to understand the difference between those and then how you're thinking about that business for the second half?
Greg Heckman: Yes, I think you're right on the fact that the farmer selling came in some as -- it was slow and it came in kind of drilled out in different surges. That did provide some ability to crush above fixed costs, but I would not say we saw the robust margins that you're -- that you may have picked up. That being the case, it really depends on how the farmer reacts on the second half. Now, the offset of that, right, was lower soybean meal exports that were moving into Europe. And so we continue to see strong margins there in Europe with good demand and less meal imports. That was kind of the other side of the sword.
Heather Jones: Oka, all right. Thank you so much.
Operator: Our next question comes from Salvator Tiano from Bank of America. Please go ahead with your question.
Salvator Tiano: Thank you very much. So, firstly, on merchandising, I'm wondering -- I think it was two years ago when you said that your normalized merchandising earnings should be around $75 million to $100 million a quarter. So, we've been below the low end for a few quarters now and even more so this Q2. Has this made you change your normalized earnings outlook? Or is it simply that the ag situation is so bad that you're earning so much below normalized? And when do you expect us to go back to the $75 million to $100 million figure?
Greg Heckman: Yes. Remember, those were our assumptions in the model for our baseline, and we are operating below baseline today. Now, that's always the toughest one to predict. And as those opportunities come up, I think the team does a good job of capitalizing on those. But we've been in a pretty interesting time of transition, right? And when these markets generally transition from higher price into a more balanced S&D, that's when you see this adjustment and the pressure on margins, right? The farmers have good, strong balance sheets. They have a lot of storage available and they don't like selling lower prices. So, they're building inventory, if you will, and seeing how the weather plays out and how the S&Ds play out. And then you've got the consumer, which is actually reducing inventories, shrinking their supply chains and their patience is also being rewarded. So, the market gets much more spot to put pressure on the margins until we get back in balance. And I think we're getting pretty close there now, where some of the puts and takes around what could happen from a weather and what could happen from a demand start to be more of an upside on -- as opportunities develop. But I think that's really what you've seen in the transition of the market going through, and that's what we've been seeing.
Salvator Tiano: Okay, perfect. Thank you. And also, I want to ask a little bit about refined products. It continues to be the one segment that quarter-on-quarter, you're -- it looks like you're topping your own expectations. And if you can say to why -- where did things go better than you expected? And also, is it mostly on the fuel side? Is it mostly on the edible oil side?
Greg Heckman: It's been both. Our food customers -- while we're seeing the customers trade down some on the brands and things that they're on -- eating at home as well as the shift of where they're eating away from home, we've probably been maybe a little bit of a beneficiary to that favorable mix for oil demand. And then also when you think about oil demand, it doesn't go one-for-one with the food demand. So, that's been pretty resilient on the food side. And then with the lower price, we've seen some improvement on the energy demand as well. And then lastly, as I was talking about on the tropical side, we've definitely been a benefit of the tighter cocoa butter supply with our cocoa butter equivalents, and helping some of our customers solve problems on the supply side and/or lowering their cost for -- when they reformulate into our products. So, the team has been doing a great job, the technical team and the execution team, working with our customers as they're deal with a little bit of a challenging environment.
Salvator Tiano: Thank you very much.
Operator: Our next question comes from Tom Palmer from Citi. Please go ahead with your question.
Tom Palmer: Good morning. Thanks for the question. I wanted to ask on capital allocation. Are you done with share repo until the Viterra transaction closes? Or might we see something sooner, just given the slightly extended timeline? And if not repo, what's kind of the use of the excess free cash flow? Would it just be for debt?
John Neppl: Thanks Tom, this is John. Yes, I think -- look, we're not going to probably commit to any share repurchases prior to Viterra close, mainly because we've got leverage commitments and targets that we want to hit going into the close process, because we're expecting a ratings upgrade relative to the -- is related to the transaction. But we are still very committed to that program and expect to execute that post close. We did give ourselves an 18-month window post close, but we'll obviously do what makes sense when it makes sense. And I would just add that with the announcement of sugar, we're hoping to close that maybe late this year. Certainly, proceeds from that will -- could play a meaningful role in the repurchase program, increasing it by some meaningful amount of that those proceeds.
Tom Palmer: Great. Thanks for the color there. And then I just wanted to ask on kind of capital plan for the next couple of years. You've got this multiyear CapEx cycle. I think we're getting a little bit longer in the tooth here in terms of price -- will start opening next year. Just any early thoughts on how to think about 2025 CapEx and how it might compare to what we're seeing this year? And again, this is -- I understand for Viterra--
John Neppl: Yes. So, our range -- I think we're going to be at the high end of our range this year. It could be a little bit above the $1.4 billion, depending on how things play out here toward the end of the year on bigger CapEx expenditures. But we do expect next year to be up from that, probably closer to the $2 billion range, $1.9 billion to $2 billion, just given all of these projects are going to really be in full swing in terms of development. Then -- and we should make great progress next year on getting those close to commissioning. But commissioning will really be probably in 2026 on the four major projects that we're working on today, but we'll see a significant drop off. Probably as of today, absent any other opportunities coming along, we do expect CapEx to drop potentially up to 50%. This is all excluding Viterra, but we could see a 50% drop in CapEx in 2026 versus 2025.
Tom Palmer: Great. Thank you.
Operator: Our next question comes from Manav Gupta from UBS. Please go ahead with your question.
Manav Gupta: Good morning. My first question is, since the time you announced the Viterra transaction, until now, there has been some financials reported by Viterra. And I'm just trying to understand if those numbers that were reported met your expectations or maybe even exceeded the expectations.
Greg Heckman: Yes. As you know, we've got to run the companies separately until close. So, the Viterra team, I think, continues to do a very good job in running their business. Definitely got the extra strain, as anyone does, of the integration planning as well as all the work being done on the regulatory side. And we're doing that all during a pretty challenging environment. But it's a great platform, the engagement that we have had with their people. We continue to just be very impressed by the quality of their people and the capabilities, and their ability to really step-up with the challenges of all the work that's being done. So, we continue to feel very good about the transaction and really look forward to the future.
Manav Gupta: Perfect. My quick follow-up is the divestment of the Non-core business. It had been marked for non-core for some time. So, how did this particular deal can come about? And were you happy with the transaction price?
Greg Heckman: Yes, I'll start and John can finish. But look, we -- very early on when we got here and we're able to put sugar into the joint venture with BP, declared then that we would eventually exit the business when we thought that was the right time for our shareholders and for the stakeholders. And in the meantime BP and ourselves supported that team, which did a fantastic job of really improving that business with the combination that we did there and really becoming an industry leader. And we're very proud of that, but that didn't change our long-term strategy. And so when the timing was right and the values lined up, than we've done the second part of that transaction and to exit. So, we do look to -- as John said, we look forward to closing that transaction hopefully later this year, and releasing those resources, not only the capital but even some of our folks that are focused there in supporting the JV.
John Neppl: And Manav, I'd just add that, yes, we were pretty happy with where we end up from a value standpoint.
Manav Gupta: Thank you so much.
Operator: Our next question comes from Steven Haynes from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead with your question.
Steven Haynes: Hey good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Wanted to ask a quick one on farmer selling. You alluded, I think, before you -- the idea that it might be a source of upside going forward. I was just hoping maybe you could put it in a little bit of a broader context of like where you think we are in the evolution of farmer selling slowing down through the course of the year. I guess what kind of gives you confidence that it's not going to be kind of a more prolonged slow farmer selling cycle, like we might have seen in some past down-cycles? Thank you.
Greg Heckman: Sure. I think if you look at the overall setup, we've been making that transition, right, to a lower price environment. I think the producers are getting used to that. At the same time, as we said, they've definitely built some inventories, and then as the next crops get produced, right? Much bigger crop in Argentina. We still got to develop the crop here in North America, but the weather looks good. And I think as you see that North American crop develop, we'll see some more farmer marketing there. And then as we also know, South American farmers are often watching North American price development and what's happening in the futures market to drive some of those. Currency is still a driver, of course, in Brazil and mostly in Argentina, where the farmers are watching the government very closely for what their policy action will be and any FX activity. So, I think it's all unfolding kind of as would be expected. And what I feel good about is the team remains very focused on executing and ensuring that we manage the risk that's appropriate for the environment that we're in. And pretty proud of how we're executing.
Steven Haynes: Thank you.
Operator: Our next question comes from Andrew Strelzik from BMO. Please go ahead with your question.
Andrew Strelzik: Hey good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. You talked about the inverted curves. And so I was curious, are there internal levers you can pull in an environment where U.S. crush margins get more challenged across operations or, I guess, growth CapEx would probably be more delayed? But any other levers that we should think about that you might have at your disposal as the environment plays out potentially in that inverted way?
Greg Heckman: I would just say, I mean, the one thing that we've seen in the last five years -- all the different things have been thrown at us, we love that we're running a very global platform because we would be over-weighted in one region versus another, this would have been much more challenging. And I don't think that's going to change going forward. So, the optionality and the flexibility that we have in our system to run hardest where the margins are there and to be able to react to whether it's farmer selling or whether it's demand. And then I think the change that we've made in the company and the operating model has allowed the execution and discipline to be much better, which is really key when you get in these tougher markets. So, the team is doing a great job staying focused on the things that we can control as the market develops. And I've got the confidence that as we see the balance of the year play out, that we'll get those opportunities to the bottom-line.
Andrew Strelzik: Okay, that's helpful. And then I guess kind of related to that, as you've gotten a little bit farther out from the really elevated crush margin environment, I know there's been obviously some recent strength, but are you better able to decouple the internal events to the business from the last several years away from kind of the operating environment and the strength of that over the last couple of years? And do you think you've kind of appropriately captured that in the baseline assumptions? Or has your thinking evolved at all? Thanks.
Greg Heckman: I think, one, we're never done, right? We're constantly thinking about continuous improvement. So, whether it's the assets where that are getting the capital, whether it's the debottlenecking or the brownfields or the greenfields, but also thinking about over the long-term, what we believe in what assets may not fit the footprint. It's the investments we're making in our systems and digitalization, and some of the things in the crushing plants that are improvements in the metrics that are a multiyear program. So, I think it's just a very different company than we were in the way that we approach things. And so these are the times, as the markets kind of reset in these transitions, that you really find out how good you're executing. And so we're very, very pleased with the team that -- we're never focused. And we're doing it in a challenged external environment and while renewing an enormous amount of integration planning and providing an enormous amount of information on the regulatory front. So, really proud of the execution.
Andrew Strelzik: Thank you.
John Neppl: I would say, Andrew, that we still feel -- we set out an 850 [ph] baseline a couple of years ago and we're still performing above that, even in a little bit more challenged environment we're in this year. So, to Greg's point earlier, I think we're a different machine than we were. And I think it's -- we're going to be able to show that here despite a little bit more challenging environment. I think we're performing pretty well versus what we had set out as a baseline.
Andrew Strelzik: Great, absolutely. Thank you very much.
Operator: And our next question comes from Carla Casella from JPMorgan. Please go ahead with your question.
Carla Casella: Hi. My question relates to financing. You got the question about the dividends and buybacks ahead of the Viterra transaction, but are you -- what are you thinking in terms of pre-financing that transaction and how much you may want to come to market for? Or would you wait--
John Neppl: Yes. We've already syndicated out the debt on that, and so we've got the commitments in place to finance the transaction itself. There is some obviously nuances that will take place around some of the Viterra bonds and things ahead of close, but we're pretty much set in terms of the initial allocation of financing and the commitments are all in place. There'll be some fine-tuning post close, I'm sure, but -- and then when we decide exactly how much we need. That could have an effect on the total amount, but it's all pretty much ready to go.
Carla Casella: Okay, great. Thank you.
Operator: And ladies and gentlemen, with that, we'll be ending today's question and your session. I'd like to turn the floor back over to CEO, Greg Heckman, for any closing comments.
Greg Heckman: Thank you very much. Thanks everybody for joining us today. And we'd just like to say we're really excited about the longer term here, bringing the post-close, and bringing Bunge and Viterra together. We're going to be a more complete company. And we're going to have more capabilities to serve our customers in what continues to be a more complex environment. With the population continuing to grow, load and per capita continuing to increase, climate volatility making things more challenging, and what looks like a policy environment to continues with more uncertainty. And customers that all want more transparent and sustainable feedstocks. So, we feel we're very well-positioned and uniquely focused on this space and we really look forward to the future. So, thanks for joining us. Have a great week.
Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's conference call and presentation. We do thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.
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