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Johnson Controls stock downgraded at Mizuho, says upside is limited

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 23/02/2024, 10:40
Updated 23/02/2024, 10:40
© Reuters.

On Friday, Mizuho Securities adjusted its stance on shares of Johnson Controls (NYSE:JCI), moving from a "Buy" to a "Neutral" rating. The firm set a price target for the stock at $62.00. The revision comes after the stock's 20% rise from its October 2023 lows, a performance that has brought it closer to the firm's established price target, indicating a limited upside potential of approximately 7%.

Johnson Controls has experienced significant volatility over the past year, with the company's stock showing more fluctuations than its peers. Despite reporting an 8% organic growth and roughly 80 basis points of margin improvement in 2023, the company's quarterly results have been inconsistent. This inconsistency has led to a lack of confidence in the company's ability to maintain steady execution and enhance cash generation.

The first quarter results of fiscal year 2024 were reported to be barely in line with expectations, which were set with only two weeks remaining in the fourth quarter due to an extension requested after a cyber-attack. While issues from the cyber-attack have been addressed, Johnson Controls has faced additional challenges, including decreased demand in China, with a 21% decline in the Asia-Pacific region, and difficulties in backlog execution. This led to a reduction in the guidance for fiscal year 2024 after just one quarter.

Furthermore, the company's Chief Financial Officer has recently left for Eaton Corporation (NYSE:NYSE:ETN). This departure is seen as a potential reflection of the ongoing challenges with internal execution at Johnson Controls. The company's stock performance and corporate developments have been closely monitored by investors and industry analysts alike.

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