Goldman Sachs chief credit strategist Lotfi Karoui departs after 18 years - Bloomberg
American Express reported robust third-quarter earnings, with earnings per share (EPS) reaching $4.14, surpassing the forecast of $3.99. The company’s revenue also exceeded expectations, coming in at $18.43 billion against a forecast of $18.05 billion. Following these results, American Express shares rose 3.67% in pre-market trading, reflecting positive investor sentiment. The company also raised its full-year guidance, projecting 9-10% revenue growth and EPS between $15.20 and $15.50. InvestingPro data shows that 7 analysts have recently revised their earnings upward for the upcoming period, supporting the company’s optimistic outlook.
Key Takeaways
- American Express reported EPS of $4.14, beating forecasts by 3.76%.
- Revenue reached $18.43 billion, an 11% year-over-year increase.
- The stock surged 3.67% in pre-market trading following the strong earnings report.
- Full-year guidance was raised, indicating confidence in continued growth.
- New product launches and card acquisitions are driving performance.
Company Performance
American Express demonstrated strong performance in the third quarter of 2025, driven by record revenue and robust earnings growth. The company continued to expand its premium customer base, with significant growth in card fees and new account acquisitions. The expansion of its merchant network and strategic product launches further bolstered its competitive position. With a market capitalization of $232.5 billion and an impressive gross profit margin of 64.25%, American Express maintains its position as a prominent player in the Consumer Finance industry. For deeper insights into AXP’s financial health and growth metrics, check out the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue: $18.43 billion, up 11% year-over-year
- Earnings per share: $4.14, a 19% increase from the previous year
- Annual card fees: Approaching $10 billion, with double-digit growth for 29 consecutive quarters
- Return on Equity (ROE): 36%
Earnings vs. Forecast
American Express exceeded market expectations with an EPS surprise of 3.76%, reporting $4.14 per share against a forecast of $3.99. Revenue also surpassed estimates, coming in at $18.43 billion compared to the expected $18.05 billion. This marks a significant performance improvement and suggests effective execution of strategic initiatives.
Market Reaction
The positive earnings report led to a 3.67% increase in American Express’s stock price in pre-market trading. The stock reached $333, moving closer to its 52-week high of $349.19. This upward movement reflects investor confidence in the company’s growth trajectory and strategic direction. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock is currently trading above its Fair Value, with a PEG ratio of 3.61 indicating a premium valuation relative to growth. The company has demonstrated strong momentum, with a 29.23% price return over the past six months.
Outlook & Guidance
American Express raised its full-year guidance, now expecting revenue growth of 9-10% and EPS between $15.20 and $15.50. The company plans to continue focusing on premium products and expanding its international merchant coverage. Upcoming product refreshes and investments in digital capabilities are expected to support future growth. The company’s financial health score of 2.81 (GOOD) on InvestingPro supports this positive outlook, with liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations and a 55-year track record of consistent dividend payments.
Executive Commentary
"We are fortunate to have a global premium customer base that is unmatched in the industry," stated CEO Steve Squeri, highlighting the company’s strong market position. CFO Kristina Fink added, "We feel good about our momentum year to date, and we are very pleased with the initial demand and engagement following the Platinum refresh."
Risks and Challenges
- Macroeconomic pressures: Potential economic slowdowns could impact consumer spending.
- Competitive landscape: Intense competition in the financial services sector may affect market share.
- Regulatory changes: Future regulations could impose additional compliance costs.
- Currency fluctuations: International operations are susceptible to exchange rate volatility.
- Technological advancements: Keeping pace with digital innovation is crucial for maintaining competitive advantage.
Q&A
During the earnings call, analysts inquired about the impact of potential government shutdowns, to which executives noted minimal expected effects. Questions also focused on the company’s marketing efficiency and strategies for acquiring younger, premium customers, indicating strong interest in American Express’s growth strategies and market positioning.
Full transcript - American Express (AXP) Q3 2025:
Daryl, Conference Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the American Express Q3 2025 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. If you wish to ask a question, please press star, then one on your touch-tone phone. You will hear a tone indicating you have been placed in queue. You may remove yourself from the queue at any time by pressing star, then two. If you’re using a speaker phone, please pick up the handset before pressing the numbers. Should you require assistance during the call, please press star, then zero. As a reminder, today’s call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to our host, Head of Investor Relations, Mr. Kartik Ramachandran. Please go ahead.
Kartik Ramachandran, Head of Investor Relations, American Express: Thank you, Daryl, and thank you all for joining today’s call. As a reminder, before we begin, today’s discussion contains forward-looking statements about the company’s future business and financial performance. These are based on management’s current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements are included in today’s presentation slides and in our reports on file with the SEC. The discussion today also contains non-GAAP financial measures. The comparable GAAP financial measures are included in this quarter’s earnings materials, as well as the earnings materials for the prior periods we discussed. All of these are posted on our website at ir.americanexpress.com. We’ll begin today with Steve Squeri, Chairman and CEO, who will start with some remarks about the company’s progress and results. Kristina Fink, Chief Financial Officer, will provide a more detailed review of our financial performance.
After that, we’ll move to a Q&A session on the results with both Steve and Kristina. With that, let me turn it over to Steve.
Steve Squeri, Chairman and CEO, American Express: Thank you, Kartik. Good morning, and thank you for joining us. We had a very strong quarter, with revenues up 11% year over year to a record $18.4 billion and earnings per share up 19% to $4.14. Card member spending in the quarter accelerated to 9% or 8% on an FX-adjusted basis, with particularly strong retail spending and a bounce back in travel. Our credit performance continued to be excellent. Based on our strong performance through the first three quarters, we’re raising the guidance we provided in January. We now expect full-year revenue growth of 9% to 10% and EPS between $15.20 and $15.50. The big news in the quarter was the launch of our refreshed U.S. Consumer Platinum Card and Business Platinum Card, which reinforces our leadership in the premium space. I’m very pleased to say that the initial customer demand and engagement are exceeding our expectations.
In fact, while it’s still early, this is the strongest start we’ve seen for a U.S. Platinum Card refresh. Before I get into more details on Platinum, I want to provide some context. We are fortunate to have a global premium customer base that is unmatched in the industry. Our goal is to provide our customers with the best experience in the industry, by continually investing in innovating our value propositions. The recent Platinum launch is yet another example of our proven strategy of refreshing our products on a regular basis to drive customer engagement and growth. We’ve done over 200 refreshes across our portfolio globally since 2019. This is the third U.S. Platinum refresh we’ve done in the past decade. Our refresh strategy leverages and strengthens the competitive advantages of our membership model.
It starts with understanding what our customers and our prospective customers want, and then enhancing our value propositions with access to compelling benefits, services, and experiences at a price point that delivers outstanding value. The scale of our premium customer base gives us a distinct advantage. Our Consumer and Business Platinum Card franchise alone accounts for approximately $530 billion of annual spend globally. This scale gives us deep insights into customer spending patterns and emerging trends, which informs our product enhancements and where we invest. Another key advantage is the relationships we have with 160 million merchants around the world who accept our cards.
We’ve grown the number of American Express-accepting merchants by nearly five times since 2017, giving our card members more places to use their cards and giving more merchants access to our high-spending customers, who spend on average nearly three times more annually on American Express cards than the average spend per card on other networks. Ultimately, product refreshes fuel a virtuous cycle of growth for the company. By continually enhancing our offerings, we drive the engagement and scale of our premium customer base. Our high-spending card members attract a growing number of world-class merchant partners who add more value to membership, which drives more engagement. This enables us to generate more dollars that we can reinvest in enhancing our products.
The result of all this is a loyal and growing premium customer base, mutually beneficial relationships with our merchants, and strong returns for our shareholders, including higher revenue growth, excellent credit quality, expense leverage, and increased profit across our product portfolios. There’s no better example of how we execute this strategy in our Platinum Cards. We launched our first Platinum Card over 40 years ago. It was the first premium card of its kind in the industry and remains the category leader. Platinum was initially designed for well-established, affluent, frequent travelers. Several years ago, we made a conscious decision to widen our aperture for our premium products so that we could also attract new generations to the franchise and grow with them as their needs change.
With the value enhancements we’ve made over the past decade, the Platinum Card has evolved into the leading premium lifestyle card that it is today, with a wider range of benefits and experiences that appeal broadly across generations, including millennial and Gen Z consumers who are very comfortable paying for its exceptional value and are highly engaged in the product. A good example of these value enhancements is the previous U.S. Platinum refresh we did in 2021, coming out of the COVID pandemic. We learned that our card members, particularly the younger cohorts, love the benefits we’ve added in categories like digital entertainment, wellness, and delivery services, in addition to our travel offerings, which we also continue to enrich with investments in new Centurion lounges and the expansion of our hotel programs. That brings me to our most recent Platinum launch.
Here again, we continued our strategy of enhancing the card’s benefits and services with more world-class partners across the areas we know our customers love to deliver industry-leading value that far exceeds the card’s annual fee. In addition, we continue to enhance our award-winning digital capabilities, introducing a new app experience for our U.S. Platinum members that makes it even easier to engage with the card’s benefits. As I mentioned earlier, the initial results are very strong, exceeding our expectations. For example, new Platinum account acquisitions are running at twice the level before the refresh. In the first three weeks, we saw very strong engagement in the new benefits and over 500,000 requests for the new Mira card. While the annual fee increase won’t go into effect for a few months, retention rates have been stable post-refresh.
In addition to these results, we saw record bookings through Amex Travel following the Platinum refresh and the launch of our new all-in-one travel app, which we introduced earlier in September in the U.S. Looking ahead, I’m confident about our ability to sustain our growth by continuing to build on our powerful membership platform with a growing set of high-value products, benefits, services, and experiences. We’ll also continue expanding our digital capabilities for consumers and businesses, including the upcoming integration of Centers Expense Management Solution for commercial customers. We’ll focus on continuing to grow merchant coverage outside the U.S. to give card members more places to use their Amex cards. With that, I’ll hand it over to Kristina to walk through more detail on third-quarter results.
Kristina Fink, Chief Financial Officer, American Express: Thanks, Steve, and good morning, everyone. Let me start with a few highlights for the quarter. Our business model is performing really well. Revenue growth accelerated to 11% this quarter, with broad-based growth across revenue lines. Annual card fees are now approaching $10 billion annually, and have grown at double digits for 29 consecutive quarters. Credit performance remains excellent, with both U.S. consumer and small business delinquency rates still below 2019 levels. We’ve driven leverage from expenses and provision even as we have invested in our premium value propositions, marketing, and technology. As a result, we continue to deliver very strong returns. EPS growth was 19% this quarter, with an ROE of 36%. Turning to business trends for the quarter, total spend was up 8.5% FX-adjusted, about two percentage points higher than Q2.
The step up in growth was driven by strong retail spending up 12%, as well as a rebound in T&E. Airline spending picked up this quarter, and restaurants, our largest T&E category, continue to be very strong, up 9%. Premium T&E bookings saw good momentum, with spending on front-of-cabin airline tickets up 14%. The momentum we’ve seen from younger customers also continued. Millennials and Gen Z now account for 36% of total spend, making up the same share as Gen X. International had another strong quarter. We spent up 13% FX-adjusted. Momentum remains broad-based across markets, with three of our five top countries growing by 18% or more this quarter. In addition to the strong early performance we are seeing in the U.S. following the refresh, spend on Platinum Cards issued outside the U.S. is up 24% this quarter, consistent with what we have seen over the last two years.
Overall spend growth continues to be driven by transaction growth, up 10% in Q3, a good indicator of engagement from our customer base. I will note that we see strong engagement from Millennial and Gen Z card members, with the average number of transactions per U.S. customer about 25% higher than older cohorts. We acquired 3.2 million new cards in the quarter. Even more important than the overall number of cards, demand for our premium products remained very strong, with over 70% of new accounts acquired on fee-paying products. Turning to balance growth and credit, loan and card member receivables were up 7% year over year, broadly in line with bill business. There was about a 1% impact on balance growth from our health sale portfolios again this quarter. Credit performance remains very strong and stable.
Q3 delinquency and write-off rates were low, with delinquency rates flat to last quarter, while write-off rates declined. This performance is supported by our focus on premium products, which tend to attract high-income, highly credit-worthy customers. We’re seeing the outcome of this strategy in the latest Platinum Card refresh, where the credit profiles of consumer applicants following the refresh are even better than what we were seeing before, with the average FICO score up 15 points, contributing to 2X the number of acquisitions. Overall provision expense of $1.3 billion this quarter included a reserve build of $125 million, reflecting balance growth. Turning to revenue on slide 14, revenue was very strong this quarter, up 11%, with momentum across revenue lines. Net card fees were up 17% FX-adjusted, a pace that we have now maintained since 2019.
Card fee growth moderated, as we expected, and will continue to moderate before we see an inflection upward in 2026 as a result of our product refreshes. As a reminder, card members who held Platinum Cards prior to the refresh get to experience the new benefits for a few months before the increase in the annual fee goes into effect. The new card fee will then be applied at renewal anniversaries over the next 12 months. Additionally, card fees are amortized over a 12-month period. Putting those factors together, it takes roughly two years to fully lap the impact of the refresh on card fees, with a contribution to growth peaking 12 months following the effective date of the new annual fee.
Of course, the overall trajectory of card fees is also dependent on many other factors, such as volume and mix of acquisitions, retention, and the full suite and cadence of product refreshes globally. Net interest income was up 12% again this quarter. We continue to grow balances largely in line with spending, while driving higher NII growth by expanding the margin earned on balances. At the same time, we’ve maintained best-in-class credit results. This quarter, the service fees and other revenue lines include the impact of a transaction at the Global Business Travel Group, which contributed about 5% to year-over-year growth in this line. In addition, this is the first quarter that we have fully lapped the sale of the certified business last May.
The main takeaway here is that growth in service fees and other revenue is running higher than the low single digits that we saw in the second half of last year and earlier this year. Overall, we feel good about the momentum we have at this point in the year, and we are on track for full-year revenue growth of 9% to 10%. Turning to expense performance, VCE was up 14% in the quarter, with the VCE to revenue ratio coming in at 42%. Card member service growth stepped up from the first half of the year, driven by strong early engagement with the refresh U.S. Platinum benefits, especially some of the quarterly credits that were available to customers. This is a good early sign of interest in the product and the new benefits.
As we noted previously, the cost of benefits occurs immediately, while the realization of fee revenue is lagged, given the timing and accounting of those fees. Our model also benefits from partners that offer value to our customers. Over the last 12 months, our partners have offered over $3 billion of value across embedded benefits, Amex Travel, and Amex Offers. We also manage our VCE expenses through constant innovation of our rewards and benefits, the latest one being the introduction of amount-based redemptions. As we’ve noted previously, we expect the VCE ratio to increase over time as a result of our investments in the value proposition and the mix shift to a more premium portfolio. We also feel good about the ability of these investments, together with the expense leverage, to drive sustainable mid-teens EPS growth under our long-term aspiration.
Moving on to capital, we returned $2.9 billion of capital to our shareholders, including $0.6 billion of dividends and $2.3 billion of share repurchases. Our business continues to generate very strong returns, with an ROE of 36% this quarter. Our strong ROE enables us to return a high level of earnings to our shareholders, around 70% over the past three years. Over the same time period, our dividend is up 58%. That brings me to the outlook for the year. While there continues to be uncertainty in the environment, given the strength of our performance, we are raising our full-year guidance. We now expect revenue growth of 9% to 10% and earnings per share between $1,520 and $1,550. This assumes a stable macroeconomic outlook as we get to the end of the year.
Stepping back, we feel really good about our momentum year to date, and we are very pleased with the initial demand and engagement following the Platinum refresh. With that, I’ll turn the call back over to Kartik, and we’ll take your questions.
Kartik Ramachandran, Head of Investor Relations, American Express: Thank you, Kristina. Before we open up the lines for Q&A, I will ask those in the queue to please limit yourself to just one question. Thank you for your cooperation. With that, the operator will now open up the lines for questions. Operator?
Daryl, Conference Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, if you wish to ask a question, please press star, then one on your touch-tone phone. You’ll hear a tone indicating that you’ve been placed in queue. You may remove yourself from the queue at any time by pressing star, then two. If you’re using a speaker phone, please pick up the handset before pressing the numbers. One moment, please, for the first question. Our first question comes from the line of Sanjay Sakhrani with KBW. Please proceed with your question.
Thank you. Good morning. First of all, I appreciate all the disclosures on the Platinum Card and the refresh, and it seems like things are going really well there. Steve, I guess there’s been just a lot of resiliency, if not strength, across your customer base, even corporate and small business, to accelerate sequentially. Maybe you could just talk about how you’re feeling about the path forward. Can things actually improve here because we’ve bottomed some, because you had this acceleration? Maybe just in a stable macro backdrop specifically. Then just one Kristina modeling thing. The gain that you had this quarter, should we think about it as an explicit benefit? I’m sorry if I missed that commentary, if you had any. Thanks.
Steve Squeri, Chairman and CEO, American Express: Look, I think you saw a little bit of an accelerant this quarter from a billings perspective. If you look back over the last six or seven quarters, it’s been relatively stable. Is this a sign of things to come? I don’t know if we’re going to keep this billings up the way we are, but I don’t see anything in the horizon here that would indicate that billings are going to slow down or decline. I think the second quarter, you saw a deceleration in airline spending. I think the pickup in T&E was really good. Restaurants continued to be strong. Airlines really did pick up. What was really encouraging for us as well was the premium part from an airline perspective. That was up 14% when you think about front of the cabin. That, coupled with quarterly bookings in our U.S.
consumer travel business, which were at an all-time high. I think we’re still in a relatively stable environment. I would also point out, as I always point out, our card base is not representative of what’s going on across the United States. It truly is a bifurcated economy. We have a small percentage of the cards, but our cardholders are much more premium, and we’re lucky to have a much more premium card base. We’re seeing a little bit of a pickup in spend. We hope that that continues into the fourth quarter. What was encouraging for us is also the pickup in small business. We saw 4% growth, the pickup in large and global as well, which was up at about 6%. International continues to really be really strong. The last thing I’ll say is I think the retail spending, especially in the U.S.
consumer business, hopefully is a good harbinger for what will come during the holiday season, because U.S. consumer business was very strong as well at 9%. Are we going to see a big accelerant from here? It’s not what we’re expecting, but we’re not also expecting a deceleration as well.
Kristina Fink, Chief Financial Officer, American Express: Sanjay, on your question about the gain, it’s not a large gain. It’s in the range of about $80 million. We called it out because it has an impact on the growth rate of that line, service fees, and other revenue. If you want more color, as you know, we own about 30% of their Global Business Travel Group. I’m sure you’ve heard or seen that they just merged with CWT, and that translated into a small gain for us, which we recognized this quarter, and that is moving the line a little bit. It’s about five percentage points of that 17% growth that you see here FX-adjusted. Even if you control for that, we would still be in double-digit revenue growth. It’s really not changing that much the picture in terms of the momentum that we’ve reported this quarter.
Daryl, Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Ryan Nash with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question.
Hey, good morning, Steve. Good morning, Kristina. I echo Sanjay’s comments on the disclosures. Steve, can you maybe just talk or Kristina broad strokes on the financial impact of the Platinum Card refresh, particularly on card fees and VCEs? Kristina, you broadly commented on this, but does this in any way impact your ability to generate mid-teens EPS growth, not over time, but during the refresh period? Thank you.
I’ll let Kristina Fink go through some of the numbers here.
Kristina Fink, Chief Financial Officer, American Express: Yeah. The short answer is no. We try to provide some more color in terms of the dynamic. You understand, I know the card fee dynamic. It’s delayed, and then it’s amortized over 12 months, while the benefits are immediate and are available to everybody. That clearly puts a little bit of pressure. We signaled at the beginning of the year that you should expect a little bit of step up in costs at the back end of the year on the back of this Platinum Card refresh. The year is really playing out as we were expecting it to play out. Of course, we had those insights. It was not all that visible to all of you, but we were expecting that kind of like step up in costs in Q4. We are expecting it as well for 2026 going forward.
We did all of this with our eyes wide open. It’s a material investment, a significant investment, but it’s our biggest product. We gave you a little bit of either some global numbers as well on the size of the product. It’s very large. It is a sizable investment for us. We are still doing all of this with the ambition to deliver 15% or mid-teens EPS in terms of the coming years.
Steve Squeri, Chairman and CEO, American Express: Right. The only thing I would say is that, you know, we plan and we run the company medium to long term here. As Kristina pointed out, we do all this stuff with our eyes wide open and with our aspirations in mind. When we think about our planning horizon, as Kristina said, it’ll take, you know, two years for everything to fully play out, and expenses play out a little bit earlier. Our aspirations are still our aspirations, 10%+ revenue growth and mid-teens EPS growth.
Daryl, Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mark DeVries with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question.
Yeah, thanks. I was hoping to get a better sense of how much you think the Platinum Card refresh contributed to the acceleration in bill business growth during the quarter. I was kind of surprised at how quickly you made some of those credits, like the Resy and Lululemon available, probably stimulated some spend. Also, any color on the strength of demand on the consumer product versus the business?
Kristina Fink, Chief Financial Officer, American Express: Good morning, Mark. On the spend, if you look at the spend in aggregate, total bill business for the quarter, the impact is small. We’ve seen strength, as we said, in travel and entertainment. Airline went from being flat last quarter to being at 5% this quarter. Those macro changes are what’s driving the billing strength that you see in the quarter. If you were to look at some specific partners, you would see an impact. We are sharing, I think, some of those numbers on that Platinum Card part, where we’re calling out that, for those partners listed on the bottom right here, there was a 2X increase in terms of the number of customers. Their total impact billing-wise for the quarter is not really material.
Daryl, Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Donald Fandetti with Wells Fargo. Please proceed with your question.
Hi, good morning. Steve, can you dig in a bit on what you’re seeing in SME? Obviously, it’s good to see the uptick. Is that organic growth, or is this just sort of bouncing around? Do you see any scenarios where that could normalize as you look out to 2026? There’s also some fintech competition.
Steve Squeri, Chairman and CEO, American Express: Yeah, look, I think what we’re seeing is we’re seeing still good acquisition, which is good. You’re seeing organic start to turn around a little bit, especially at the small end and in the middle market as well. I think it’ll stabilize. One of the things that we’ve talked about quite a bit is our larger transactions moving off, some of the cards that came on during the COVID piece. I think we’re growing over that right now. We feel good about acquisitions. We feel good about the early indications as it relates to the Business Platinum Card launch. Yeah, look, it’s a competitive marketplace out there, no doubt about it, which is why we’ve done the Center acquisition and why we’ll be looking early next year to launch our version of Center integrated in with our cards. We think there’s still a lot of opportunity in this space.
We think, hopefully, the downturn that we saw from an organic perspective is going to be behind us.
Daryl, Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Craig Maurer with FT Partners. Please proceed with your question.
Yeah, hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Wanted to ask first, when you look at the Platinum Card refresh, I was curious how much of that you think has been with consumers or businesses that have high-end cards with other issuers already or upgrades within your own portfolio, trying to ascertain the degree to which this investment is creating a competitive takeaway from others. If you could just talk about the international strength and where you saw that most outside the U.S. and where you might still be lacking in terms of coverage. Thanks.
Steve Squeri, Chairman and CEO, American Express: Yeah, so look, I think it’s a little bit too early to tell in terms of what the takeaways are at this point. I think the upgrades, we’re very happy with the upgrades, and we were happy with the new card acquisition that we saw. What we don’t know, and we’ll figure this out, but we’re sort of three weeks in here, were these people that had premium cards before? Is this their first foray into the premium card segment? We’ll look at all that. We will look at all that data and figure that out. As far as international goes, international pretty much across the board was very, very strong for us. I think we focus on really the big five markets. I think three of those markets, we had almost 18% growth. Coverage continues.
As I said, we talked about the city strategy of getting to 75% LIF coverage, and we talked about the various country strategies, and we continue to march in that direction. We’ll continue to focus on Europe, and that’s been a big focus. There are still some cities that we’re working on, and we’ll share more color with that as that occurs. We’re really pleased with just how much coverage has increased over the last few years.
Daryl, Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Erika Najarian with UBS. Please proceed with your question.
Hi, good morning. Kristina, if I could just dig into Ryan’s question a little bit. Thank you so much for taking us through the sort of lifespan of the increase in card fees two years after the refresh. It’s fully baked in 12 months after the new card fee will peak. I’m wondering if you could walk us through in terms of the same pacing, in terms of the step up and related expenses. Would it be the heaviest over the next three to four quarters, and then it would subside in the back half of, let’s say, 2027? That walk would be helpful.
Kristina Fink, Chief Financial Officer, American Express: Hey, good morning, Erika. You know, predicting what’s going to happen in 2027 is going to be really hard. From an engagement standpoint, we’re certainly going to keep engaging with card members, and our goal is to increase the engagement. From a modeling standpoint, I think you can assume that the entire benefits are available to our card members, front book, back book, from day one. The very strong engagement that we’ve seen right on the day of announcing the new product on September 18 was very high from day one and has remained elevated and strong since then. I don’t think there is a bit of a curve that is playing out for those benefits the way it’s playing out, if you want, for card fees. The accounting is also a lot more straightforward.
Many of the benefits are quarterly benefits, so you expense them as soon as the card member earns them. There is not that kind of complexity for those benefits as there is for card fees. It’s going to be much more linear. Over time, as I said, the goal is actually to get more and more of these card members to engage with those benefits. You should expect that kind of modest trend up by design.
Daryl, Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Brian Foran with Truist Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Hey, maybe piggybacking a little on Craig’s question. If I think about the tiering of Gold, Platinum, and Black, you know, now that there’s more dining on Platinum, are you seeing any interactions with Gold that you would call out? On the other side, is there white space available for some enhanced or even new card between Platinum and Black now that it’s clear that a lot of consumers will jump at a pretty high annual fee?
Steve Squeri, Chairman and CEO, American Express: Gold continues to be a very strong product for us, and we continue to acquire new cardholders there. We haven’t seen gold card acquisition go down. We have seen upgrades, but it’s still early. I mean, we’re only three weeks in here. We will see how that plays out. Part of our strategy is to provide card members with a path to higher-end products that potentially meet their needs. Is there a product between Platinum and Centurion? Maybe. If you have any ideas, we’re open to those ideas. It’s something that we talk about from time to time. We will see. We’re really happy with where Centurion is, and we’re happy with where Platinum is. I think this refresh will continue to cement our position as the leading premium product.
Daryl, Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Rick Shane with J.P. Morgan. Please proceed with your question.
Hey, guys, thanks. I’d kind of like to follow up related to Erika’s question, particularly related to retention offers as the new higher fees roll out. I assume that that really sort of cascades over 12 months. I’m curious how we should think about perhaps what % of customers take retention offers or request retention offers, and if you expect that that response rate is going to be higher or lower this time based on the initial responses you’ve seen.
Steve Squeri, Chairman and CEO, American Express: I think in general, that’s a very low percentage of how we retain our base. Most of the retaining in the base is actually just explaining the product to them. I think when you look at this product and you look at what you pay for the value that you get, it’s pretty easy to come to the conclusion that this is a product that I really want to keep. I think one of the things that we’ve really tried to do with this refresh is really make it easy to understand what the benefits are and easy to engage in those benefits. I think that’s critical because what that will do will lead to more retention, more engagement, will drive more business to our merchants, and we’ll have more loyalty all the way around.
I don’t see retention offers playing a, in fact, I would argue that they may play even a smaller role than they have in the past, and they already had a small role because I think this product really works really hard for itself.
Daryl, Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jeff Adelson with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question.
Hey, good morning, Steve and Kristina. Just wanted to maybe dig in a little bit more on consumer health. I know your results really speak for themselves, and you’ve been pretty clear that you’re seeing a stable spend environment the last six to seven quarters. Delinquencies remain low. I guess just maybe in light of all these seemingly one-off headlines we’ve seen recently, which the market is maybe hearing are not so one-off. There’s been a lot of focus on the health of the consumer. Obviously, your consumer base is very different than most, but maybe you could just give us a little bit more color and commentary into the health of your consumer base, maybe what you’re seeing at the lower end of that spectrum. Relatedly, just anything you’re noticing from the government shutdown so far, if at all. Thanks.
Steve Squeri, Chairman and CEO, American Express: All right, let me make a couple of comments, and then whatever I miss, Kristina can fill in. I think that there’s been a little bit of noise out there in the last couple of days about defaults, and especially from a commercial perspective. If you look at what the banks reported from a card write-off perspective and a card delinquency perspective, it all got better. Write-offs are down from the bank, from the major issuers that we follow. Delinquency is down. For ourselves, delinquencies are exactly what they’ve been for the last number of quarters, around that 1.3%. Our write-offs sequentially are down a little bit. They’re 1.9%, but we’ve been hovering around 2% and 1.9%. Our gap, we still have a huge gap between us and our competitors. I think the health of our consumer is really, really good.
They’re spending, they’re engaging with the product, and they’re paying their bills. I would argue that it looks like the health of our bank competitors’ consumers are getting a little bit better. As far as the government shutdown goes, this is not our first rodeo with a government shutdown. We haven’t really seen any impact at this particular point in time. If I go back historically, I think the last, not the last one, but maybe the one before was like 35 days or something like that. It didn’t really have an impact. For card members that are impacted, we do have our programs, our short-term relief programs, which will get them over the hump, enable them to continue to use the product, and then come back and engage with us as they normally would. That’s pretty much what we’re seeing.
Kristina Fink, Chief Financial Officer, American Express: I don’t have a lot to add. I will say some indicators that reflect the strength of our portfolio, like retail spend up 12%, restaurant spend up 9%, very strong acquisition as well, with 70% of the card members joining the franchise choosing to join American Express on a fee-paying product. The first thing they do is just like to pay a fee that shows confidence in the future. Of course, on the credit metric, part of our job is also to look at every single customer in that just to see whether there are areas of weakness. It’s very stable across the board, very strong, and reflected in the metrics, in the reserve rate. We go, there’s a lot of scrutiny that goes into this modeling. We see a lot of strength and stability across the board.
Daryl, Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mihir Bhatia with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.
Good morning, and thank you for taking my question. I was wondering if you could spend a couple of minutes on marketing spend and how you’re thinking about that, not just into 4Q, but also, you know, just longer term or into 2026. I guess for 4Q, I suspect you want to continue to support the Platinum Card refresh. Any details you can provide on where that $6 billion-ish of annualized spend is going? Maybe just give us a peek under the hood. How much is broad-based sponsorships, brand building versus more micro, like, you know, the card member bonuses, retention type stuff? Thank you.
Kristina Fink, Chief Financial Officer, American Express: Yeah. Hey, good morning, Mihir. The biggest share and the one that is moving from one quarter to another when it comes to marketing is the size of the welcome incentives, right? That’s the biggest share of this marketing line. There is tension here in that number between we want to spend more marketing dollars, but we also want that marketing dollar to be more efficient. If you work here in the marketing organization, you’re constantly battling between let’s do more, let’s spend more, and yet at the same time, let’s make sure the dollars work really, really hard for us. The number that we end up spending each quarter and each year is the outcome of those two kind of like pressure points. We are very strict and disciplined about those two. We really do not want a great opportunity to go.
We’re going to keep investing, and we’re going to keep investing at elevated levels. At the same time, we’re going to subject every single of these dollars to the level of rigor that we have spoken in the past, making sure that the return on that investment, which we treat that as an investment, meets our profitability criteria, right? We are very clear in terms of stopping those investments where they are not meeting these criteria. We are getting more and more sophisticated, you know, and measuring those, tracking those. That’s how we make that decision. It’s not like, let’s spend this year like $6 billion. We kind of like go in very much into detail, and it is the sum of all this kind of like analysis that lead us to that number.
That’s what we’ve done in the past, and that’s what we’re going to keep doing going forward.
Daryl, Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Moshe Orenbuch with TD Cowen. Please proceed with your question.
Great, thanks. You’ve kind of answered both the question about card fees and spending in terms of the refresh. Is there some sort of a vintage-like performance in terms of spend volumes and therefore the key revenue drivers that you could share with us, like as you kind of bring on both from new accounts and from higher spend from existing accounts? Any ways to think about that over the next several quarters?
Kristina Fink, Chief Financial Officer, American Express: Yeah. We’re not disclosing those kinds of numbers around spend by vintage or revenue by vintage. What I can tell you is that intentionally, back to the conversation with Mihir about investments and marketing dollars, we’ve been spending more of our dollars against fee-paying products and premium products. The customers that are the more recent customers over-index on these fee payment products, they also over-index on being younger customers. We’ve made that point many, many times. This quarter, we shared with you that everything else equal, when you look at the engagement we’re getting from this younger customer, they actually tend to transact 25% more than the older cohort. I’m not going to share vintages and detail numbers with you, but those are the forces that are at work here: more premium, younger card members, more engaged, and that’s the dynamic in the portfolio.
Steve Squeri, Chairman and CEO, American Express: Right. The only thing I’ll add is that we’re getting from a younger cohort, we get a higher share of their wallet, they stay with us longer, and they grow as their lives grow. While we don’t disclose vintage numbers, you can just philosophically look at this and say, if you’re getting somebody younger and they’re going to stay with you longer and you have a premium base that you’re going after, maybe you can conclude that they will spend more over time. Those vintages, as you get these cardholders now, tend to add more value down the road. That’s the strategy without going through sort of this is who we acquired when. If you just think about this from a strategic perspective, younger premium cardholders, we’re going to grow with them as their careers grow, as their families grow, as their life changes.
What we’re doing here is we’re really creating that loyalty and engagement so that we become that card of choice. When you put a lot of benefits on a product, people want to engage with that product more on an ongoing basis, whether they’re using a benefit associated with the product or not. That’s a dynamic that’s at work.
Daryl, Conference Operator: Thank you. Our final question will come from the line of Rob Wildhack with Autonomous Research. Please proceed with your question.
Hey, guys. One more on Platinum. This $3 billion figure in partner offered value was an interesting one. As you’ve gone through this refresh cycle and maybe looking back over the last few refresh cycles now too, I mean, how has that partner receptivity changed with respect to co-funding credits and rewards? Is there anything unique or different between the products, like to call out on the same theme as you compare the Gold refresh to the Platinum refresh?
Steve Squeri, Chairman and CEO, American Express: I think, you know, the nice part about sort of this product and our customer base is people want to work with us. People that have been working with us want to work more with us. I think there’s no better example than that than our relationship with Uber. You know, we’ve had an Uber benefit for a long time, and now you have an Uber One benefit on there. They clearly see the value of working together, and it’s a great partnership of working together to drive results for both of us. We are very discerning about who we’re going to work with. We try and work with as many world-class brands as we can. What you want to do is make sure that you’re putting together a value proposition that speaks across the generations.
As I said in my opening remarks, we’ve been expanding these value propositions from pure travel to much more lifestyle, wellness, retail, and so forth, and digital. People live their lives that way. I think that as we continue to think about this and as we continue to have success here, it gets back to what we talk about, which is our virtuous cycle, that the more value we bring to our merchant partners, the more they want to engage with our cardholders, and then the more that we drive. As you think about the various products, you look to target the various value propositions to the target audience that you’re going for. If you just take, if you look at sort of the differential between platinum and gold, while gold has certain travel benefits associated with the hotel collection, it really is targeted.
It has a heavy emphasis on dining. We’ve talked about the success that we had with Dunkin’ and the engagement that our card base has. That’s worked out very well for our cardholders, very well for us, and very well for Dunkin’ as well. The challenge of our marketing teams is to make sure that we not only know what our card members want, but anticipate what our card members want, and then build those into the value propositions by working with those partners that will, that will in fact do that. I think we’ve done a good job in that respect. I think the team has really stepped up and created a Platinum Card value proposition that is the best value proposition that we have ever had. I think our customers are really appreciating it and will continue to appreciate it.
Daryl, Conference Operator: With that, we will bring the call to an end. Thank you again for joining today’s call and for your continued interest in American Express. The IR team will be available for any follow-up questions. Operator, back to you. Ladies and gentlemen, the webcast replay will be available on our investor relations website at ir.americanexpress.com shortly after the call. You can also access a digital replay of the call at 877-660-6853 or 201-612-7415. Access code 137-561-51 after 1:00 P.M. Eastern Time on October 17th through October 24th. That will conclude our conference call for today. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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