Is this U.S.-China selloff a buy? A top Wall Street voice weighs in
Vince Holding Corp., with a market capitalization of just over $20 million, reported its second-quarter 2025 earnings with a net income of $12.1 million, translating to $0.93 per share. The company’s revenue stood at $73.2 million, marking a slight decline of 1.3% compared to the previous year. Despite the dip in sales and challenging twelve months where the company struggled with profitability, the stock price surged 10.67% to $1.66 in aftermarket trading, reflecting investor optimism over strategic initiatives and improved gross margins. According to InvestingPro analysis, the company shows signs of being slightly undervalued at current levels.
Key Takeaways
- Vince’s direct-to-consumer segment grew by 5.5%, offsetting a decline in wholesale.
- The stock price jumped significantly in aftermarket trading, gaining 10.67%.
- Gross margin improvements were driven by lower product costs and higher pricing.
- The company plans new store openings and international expansion.
Company Performance
Vince Holding Corp. demonstrated resilience in the face of a challenging retail environment. The company’s focus on direct-to-consumer sales helped offset a 5.1% decline in the wholesale segment. Vince’s efforts in tariff mitigation and sourcing diversification have positioned it well against competitors, maintaining its stronghold in the contemporary fashion market.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue: $73.2 million, down 1.3% year-over-year.
- Gross profit: $36.9 million, representing 50.4% of net sales.
- Net income: $12.1 million, or $0.93 per share.
- Adjusted net income: $4.9 million, or $0.38 per share.
- Adjusted EBITDA: $6.7 million.
Earnings vs. Forecast
The company did not provide specific EPS or revenue forecasts for the quarter, making it challenging to assess expectations. However, the market’s positive reaction suggests that the results were well-received in light of existing market conditions.
Market Reaction
Vince’s stock price increased by 10.67% in the aftermarket session, reaching $1.66. This rise is notable given the stock’s 52-week low of $1.02, though investors should consider that the stock has declined by over 36% in the past six months. The positive stock movement reflects investor confidence in Vince’s strategic initiatives and improved financial metrics. InvestingPro analysis indicates the company maintains healthy liquidity with a current ratio of 1.57, suggesting adequate coverage of short-term obligations.
Outlook & Guidance
For the third quarter, Vince expects net sales to be flat or increase by low single digits, with operating income between 1% and 4%. The company anticipates adjusted EBITDA margins of 2% to 5%, despite an expected $4-$5 million in additional tariff costs. Strategic focus remains on the holiday and fall selling seasons.
Executive Commentary
CEO Brendan Hoffman highlighted the company’s tariff navigation strategies, stating, "We are successfully navigating the tariff challenges, demonstrating our value proposition." CFO Yuji Okumura added, "Despite navigating a dynamic environment, our teams have remained committed to disciplined execution."
Risks and Challenges
- Tariff Costs: Anticipated incremental costs of $4-$5 million could impact margins.
- Macroeconomic Uncertainties: Economic fluctuations may affect consumer spending.
- Wholesale Segment Decline: A continued drop in wholesale sales could hinder growth.
- Supply Chain Flexibility: Maintaining a diversified sourcing strategy is crucial.
Q&A
During the earnings call, analysts inquired about the potential for elongating selling seasons and the company’s pricing strategy. Vince’s management emphasized their focus on tariff mitigation and clarified store expansion plans, indicating a cautious yet optimistic outlook for the upcoming quarters.
Full transcript - Vince Holding Corp (VNCE) Q2 2026:
Jasmine, Conference Call Moderator: Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for attending today’s Q2 earnings conference call. My name is Jasmine, and I will be your moderator today. All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call, with the opportunity for questions and answers at the end. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. At this time, I would now like to pass the conference over to your host, Akiko Okuma. You may now proceed.
Yuji Okumura, Chief Financial Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Vince Holding Corp.’s second quarter fiscal 2025 results conference call. Hosting the call today is Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer, and Yuji Okumura, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, let me remind you that certain statements made on this call may constitute forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from those that the company expects. Those risks and uncertainties are described in today’s press release and in the company’s SEC filings, which are available on the company’s website. Investors should not assume that statements made during the call will remain operative at a later time, and the company undertakes no obligation to update any information discussed on the call. In addition, in today’s discussion, the company is presenting its financial results in conformity with GAAP and on an adjusted basis.
The adjusted results that the company presents today are non-GAAP measures. Discussions of these non-GAAP measures and information on reconciliations of them to their most comparable GAAP measures are included in today’s press release and related schedules, which are available in the investors’ section of the company’s website at investors.vince.com. Now, I’ll turn the call over to Brendan.
Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Thank you, Akiko, and good afternoon, everyone. I will begin with an overview of highlights from the second quarter before turning the call over to Yuji to provide more details on our financial performance and outlook. We are very proud of the second quarter results we delivered, with sales coming in at the high end of our expectations and profitability far exceeding our guidance. The outperformance in our bottom line is a testament to our team, our incredible product, and the disciplines we continue to operate with as we contend with an evolving macro landscape. Let me start with our channel performance, where we saw encouraging trends across both wholesale and direct-to-consumer. Our direct-to-consumer business showed particularly strong results for both our stores and e-commerce channels, contributing to the growth we delivered.
What’s especially encouraging is that across both channels, we successfully elongated our full-price selling season from spring, which supported our margin performance overall. In wholesale, we continue to be pleased with our performance at key partners. At Nordstrom’s anniversary sale this year, we continue to be one of the top overall brands, and across all partners, we’re seeing strong momentum in our contemporary market positioning. With that said, our overall top-line performance did reflect some delays in the shipping of fall orders at the end of the quarter as we recalibrated the supply chain amidst the evolving tariff landscape. Our product assortments continue to resonate with customers. In Q2, we saw strength in women’s wovens and knits, as well as with our buy-now, wear-now bottoms category, including pants and skirts. Our outfitting approach, combining tops and bottoms in both knits and wovens, has been a clear winner.
Our men’s business delivered another solid quarter, with knits leading the way through elevated textures, while we also continue to benefit from nice results in our bottoms assortment. We’re continuing to refine our messaging around fits for bottoms, maintaining consistency in our communication to male customers, and we’re seeing a nice return of the customer. Linen remains strong, and wovens have picked up significantly for men’s. Globally, I’m encouraged by our newly opened Marylebone store, which far exceeded expectations, and we will continue to evaluate opportunities longer term abroad. Here in the U.S., we’re excited about our store openings this fall. Nashville opened up this past weekend, and we look forward to our upcoming Sacramento store opening. These markets represent strategic opportunities to fill gaps in our geographic coverage while supporting our e-commerce business in these regions.
In addition, we are pleased with the results driven from our store remodels, validating our investment and enhancing our retail experience. There’s a lot of momentum in the business right now, and as I mentioned, I’ve been very proud of our teams and our ability to successfully navigate the current environment. During the first half of this year, the bulk of our attention has been focused on dealing with the evolving tariff landscape. So far, we’ve done a phenomenal job with our mitigation strategies and expect to reduce the estimated impact from incremental tariffs by approximately 50% for the second half of the year through moving country of origin, vendor negotiations, and strategic price increases. We are encouraged that we have not seen a change in quality of product and/or changes in our order book amidst these actions.
This validates not only our strong value proposition but our competitive positioning with contemporary. With more certainty around the tariff situation, we are now beginning to reinvest in the business. We’re primarily focused on restoring top-of-funnel marketing dollars that we had pulled back on in the latter half of Q1. In addition, we’re starting to think more about our longer-term growth opportunities. One of our most exciting prospects is leveraging our platform to bring other brands to life. As we look ahead, I’m more confident than ever in our strategic positioning. We are successfully navigating the tariff challenges, demonstrating our value proposition, and maintaining the quality and brand integrity that Vince is known for. Our diverse sourcing approach is working, our retail partners remain supportive, and most importantly, our customers continue to respond positively to our product offering.
While we remain confidently cautious given the dynamic environment, the underlying fundamentals of our business are strong, and we’re excited about the growth trajectory for Vince Holding Corp. With that, I’ll turn it over to Yuji to discuss our financial results in more detail. Yuji.
Yuji Okumura, Chief Financial Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Thank you, Brendan, and good afternoon, everyone. As Brendan reviewed, our second quarter performance reflected our disciplined execution of our objectives as we deliver strong bottom-line results with sales in line with the higher end of our expectation. Total company net sales for the second quarter decreased 1.3% to $73.2 million compared to $74.2 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2024. With respect to channel performance, our direct-to-consumer segment increased 5.5%, with both our e-commerce and store channels contributing to the growth. This was offset, however, by a 5.1% decline in our wholesale segment as full shipments went out later than the prior year as tariff mitigation strategies pushed the timing of receipts back by approximately three weeks. Despite the impact on the top line, the delays in our supply chain enabled us to elongate our spring selling season, contributing to strong gross margin performance for the quarter.
Gross profit in the second quarter was $36.9 million, or 50.4% of net sales. This compares to $35.1 million, or 47.4% of net sales in the second quarter of last year. The increase in gross margin rate was primarily driven by approximately 340 basis points due to the favorable impact of lower product costing and higher pricing, approximately 210 basis points due to favorable impact of lower discounting, partially offset by approximately 170 basis points due to higher tariffs, and 100 basis points due to higher freight costs. Selling, general and administrative expenses in the quarter were $25.8 million, or 35.2% of net sales, as compared to $34 million, or 45.8% of net sales for the second quarter of last year. The decrease in SG&A dollars was primarily driven by decreased compensation and benefit expenses due to the receipt of approximately $7.2 million of payments from the U.S.
Department of Treasury under the Employee Retention Credit Program, of which $5.6 million was recorded as an offset to SG&A, and $1.6 million was recorded in other income. Excluding this benefit, underlying SG&A still leveraged as we maintain strong expense discipline in light of evolving tariff policies and broader macroeconomic environment. Operating income for the second quarter was $11.2 million compared to an operating income of $1.1 million in the same period last year. Excluding the Employee Retention Credit payments received, adjusted income from the operations as a percentage of sales was 7.6%, reflecting an increase of 604 basis points compared to the prior year period. Net interest expense for the quarter decreased to $0.8 million compared to $1.6 million in the prior year. The decrease was primarily due to lower levels of debt under our term loan credit facility.
At the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2025, our long-term debt balance was $31.1 million, a reduction of $23.3 million compared to the $54.4 million in the prior year period. The provision for income taxes this quarter was $0.1 million related to discrete state tax impact associated with the interest portion of the Employee Retention Credit. The ordinary income tax expense was zero as the company is anticipating annual ordinary income for the fiscal year and has determined that it is more likely than not that the tax benefit of the year-to-date loss will not be realized in the current year. This compares to an income tax benefit of $0.8 million in the same period last year.
Net income for the second quarter was $12.1 million, or income per share of $0.93 compared to the net income of $0.6 million, or income per share of $0.05 in the second quarter of last year. Excluding the payments from the U.S. Department of Treasury under the Employee Retention Credit, the adjusted net income was $4.9 million, or $0.38 per share in the second quarter of fiscal 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was $6.7 million for the second quarter compared to $2.7 million in the prior year. Moving to the balance sheet, net inventory was $76.7 million at the end of the second quarter as compared to $66.3 million at the end of the second quarter last year.
The year-over-year increase was driven by approximately $5.2 million higher inventory carrying value due to tariffs, as well as our strategic decision to ship goods earlier in advance of the expiration of the reciprocal tariff extension. Turning to our outlook, for the third quarter, we expect net sales to be approximately flat to up low single digits compared to the prior year period, operating income as a percentage of net sales to be approximately 1% to 4%, and for adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of net sales to be approximately 2% to 5% compared to the 9.2% in the prior year period.
Our guidance takes into account our plans to begin to reinvest into the business, as Brendan reviewed, as well as approximately $4 to $5 million of estimated incremental tariff costs that we expect to mitigate approximately half of through moving country of origin, vendor negotiations, and strategic price increases. While we have not seen any changes in our customer trends thus far, our guidance also assumes a fairly cautious view on our consumers heading into the second half of the year, given the uncertainty that remains in the industry content with the incremental tariff pressures. With that said, as we have demonstrated to date, despite navigating a dynamic environment, our teams have remained committed to disciplined execution while delivering on our objectives, and that will continue to be our focus as we enter an important fall and holiday selling season.
This concludes our remarks, and I will now turn it over to the operator to open the call for questions.
Jasmine, Conference Call Moderator: Thank you. We will now proceed with the Q&A portion of the call. If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. To remove your question, press star followed by two. Again, to ask a question, press star one. As a reminder, if you’re using a speakerphone, please remember to pick up your handset before asking a question. We will pause briefly as questions are registered. Our first question comes from Eric Beter with SEC Research. You may now proceed.
Eric Beter, Analyst, SEC Research: Good afternoon. Hey, Eric. Hey. I’m curious. For Q2, you shifted, you know, tariffs kind of led you to shift around the collection a bit in terms of timing and in terms of timing of discounting and some other pieces. Obviously, it paid off pretty well. Now, how are you, when you look at next year or in general how you want to flow your collections, what is the learning that you take from this and how can you sit back and maximize it next year when you start doing the collections again and resetting?
Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Yeah, I mean, listen, I’ve been doing this now for over 30 years, and we’ve talked about how deliveries have gotten out of whack with the actual seasonality. I think we did get a little bit of a benefit and a learning from having to stretch out spring. We’ll certainly analyze that more fully as we can look at, you know, over more than one quarter and see if it’s a learning for next year. It does become a little difficult just with the whole industry. You don’t want to be behind in terms of new deliveries. I think we’ll just have to study that and make a decision based on kind of a longer set of data. It definitely was encouraging that we were able to stretch out spring while we had paused pre-fall because of the tariffs.
Eric Beter, Analyst, SEC Research: Okay. On the wholesale front, you know, Kings again, King Citizen Beach. What do you look at here as the ability to maintain the wholesale? Do you look upon your decisions to maintain the quality, maintain the pieces as an opportunity here to pick up maybe more physical share in the wholesale as other players were not as adept or as quick to respond as you were?
Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Yeah, I mean, I can’t speak to others, but if that’s the case, certainly our ability to be as nimble as we were and get on track so quickly, I think, is a competitive advantage. I’ve said it before. I think it’s a testament to the seniority and continuity of the team we have around creative design, product development, logistics, et cetera, that allowed us to really hit the ground running. We know we’ve had a pretty much constant presence in Asia since this happened. I feel that we’re doing it as well as anybody. I think the other thing, as we start to see how the strategic price increases are accepted, hopefully there’s some room there because I think we still offer tremendous value. If we can see any unit drop be more than offset by the price increases, that’s another headwind, tailwind for us.
Eric Beter, Analyst, SEC Research: Yeah, when you look at the price increases, you know, your customer, I would think your customer base has the ability to absorb those price increases ahead of many others, right? It’s a somewhat more affluent customer. I mean, when you look at it, you know, how do you think about the elasticity of increasing prices? How should we think about the customer base you have, kind of versus the affluent versus the aspirational, and how to continue to, I guess, satisfy both of them?
Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Yeah, I mean, you know, no doubt we have, as we said, we sit in a great place where to some we are kind of value for that true designer customer, and others we’re aspirational. We think carefully about both ends of that spectrum. When we take price changes, we don’t just do it across the board. We do it very surgically, style by style, to really understand if we evaluate if we feel like the value is still there at the price point that we might be moving to. It’s by no means a blanket. I think the team has had experience in doing that before. We did some of that at the beginning of the year, and we’re seeing that come through in the margin. I feel like we are in a good place.
As you said, being a little bit more higher-end and elevated, it gives us some room over more lower-priced product where the price increases are probably more painful.
Eric Beter, Analyst, SEC Research: Okay. Last question. I know that at the beginning of the year, you guys had talked about increasing with some increasing in fall with some more accessories and other pieces. How has the tariff issues affected that? What should we be thinking about and seeing in the stores in terms of, you know, new categories or new accessories for the back half? Thank you.
Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Yeah, thanks, Eric. Remember, those are really licenses. Those are ABG licensing out things like handbags and accessories and tailored clothing. Those partners who we work closely with are having the same sort of conversations and discussions we are in terms of resourcing and taking price changes that make sense for the consumer. That’s really less about us, since we’re just buying directly from them.
Eric Beter, Analyst, SEC Research: Okay, thank you.
Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Thanks, Eric.
Jasmine, Conference Call Moderator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Jacob Mutschler with NOBLE Capital Markets. You may now proceed.
Jacob Mutschler, Analyst, NOBLE Capital Markets: Thank you. I was just curious if you could let me know what % of products are currently sourced from China. I know it was mentioned in Q1 that roughly 80% of products came in were from China in 2024, and then roughly 60% in Q1. Just curious where you’re at in Q2, and how the company is progressing on reducing exposure to China.
Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Yeah, the company’s progressing amazingly. That’s kind of what I was alluding to before, just the experience of this team and the boots on the ground. The product that’s hitting the floor now, fall, that really wasn’t impacted. That was already produced. That was kind of the stuff that was being held. It’s really as we get to pre-spring or holiday where we made a lot of the movement. As we mentioned before, it’s somewhat less about China now because these tariffs keep moving around. It’s really more about not being overexposed in any one country. We’re targeting 25% to kind of be that cap, in terms of any one country. I think we’ll get there for holiday, and certainly as we get into spring, and continue to monitor these kind of moving targets on the tariffs.
Important to note, we’ve never done any, you know, India has not been a sourcing country for us, so we’re not impacted by the high tariffs there.
Jacob Mutschler, Analyst, NOBLE Capital Markets: Gotcha. Thanks for the color. Would you be able to talk about, you know, some of the freight cost trends you’re seeing in the back half of the year? I know you mentioned some shipping delays, and could you give a little bit of color around some of the drivers of those delays?
Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Yeah, I’ll talk about the delays, and then you can talk about some of the costing. The delays were purposeful. It was back in April and May when the tariffs were, you know, 150%, and us, like lots of people, paused everything at port of origin. When the tariffs got brought down to the current levels, we, like everybody else, started to bring things in quite quickly to make sure that we beat any additional incremental tariffs. We actually had the goods here, but because of what was mentioned on the earlier question by Eric, the delayed and the extended timing, it kind of just backed everything else up. Pre-fall got in a little bit later, which, again, spring benefited from that. We didn’t want to have fall land right on top of that in store.
While we had a lot of the merchandise here, we held it for a few more weeks to give everything a chance to sell and breathe. I think that will normalize as we get into the back half of the year just because Christmas is a natural stopping point. We’ll have to manage backwards from Christmas. I think it’ll be more normalized in terms of the freight costs, Yuji.
Yuji Okumura, Chief Financial Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Yeah, for the freight costs, as you saw in Q2, it did have an effect on our gross margin. When you’re looking ahead, like in terms of the trend, we don’t see significant uptick in the overall freight cost. Again, as we kind of trigger and move around the timing of goods, we have to think about the air and ship, air and boat ratio as well. That will continue to be fluid for the back half of the year.
Jacob Mutschler, Analyst, NOBLE Capital Markets: Thank you. One last question. As far as the number of stores that the company had in the quarter, could you just remind me of how many locations were open in this quarter compared to last year? I know you mentioned the Nashville location and then a Sacramento location opening up. Are there any other openings planned this year outside of Sacramento?
Yuji Okumura, Chief Financial Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Yeah, we just opened our Nashville location last week, and Sacramento is slated to open in October. We really don’t have any scheduled store openings for the remainder of the year.
Jacob Mutschler, Analyst, NOBLE Capital Markets: Thank you. Could you remind me of what the number of locations that were open in the second quarter and for the second quarter of last year as well?
Yuji Okumura, Chief Financial Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Repeat that question. I’m sorry.
Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: We have 40 full-price stores opened and 14 outlets in last year. Just double-check, it was 47 full price.
Yuji Okumura, Chief Financial Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Yeah, I think it was 14.
Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: 14 outlets.
Yuji Okumura, Chief Financial Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: A couple less full price.
Jacob Mutschler, Analyst, NOBLE Capital Markets: All right. Gotcha. Thanks for answering my questions and congrats on the solid quarter.
Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Thanks.
Yuji Okumura, Chief Financial Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Thank you.
Jasmine, Conference Call Moderator: Thank you. There are no additional questions waiting at this time. I’ll pass the conference back over to Brendan Hoffman for any further remarks.
Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Thank you, everybody, for joining us, and we look forward to updating you on Q3 in December.
Yuji Okumura, Chief Financial Officer, Vince Holding Corp.: Thanks.
Jasmine, Conference Call Moderator: That concludes today’s conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your line.
This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.