Bernstein cuts SONA BLW stock rating, lowers price target to INR540

Published 10/06/2025, 05:40
Bernstein cuts SONA BLW stock rating, lowers price target to INR540

On Tuesday, Bernstein analysts downgraded Sona BLW Precision Forgings (SONACOMS:IN) stock rating from Outperform to Market Perform and reduced the price target to INR540.00 from INR550.00. The downgrade reflects concerns over a range of geopolitical and market factors that could impact the company’s performance.

The firm cited several reasons for the downgrade, including heightened tensions between President Donald Trump and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk, a proposed U.S. bill that could phase out electric vehicle (EV) subsidies, ongoing trade issues between the U.S. and India, and the rising prominence of Chinese original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). These factors are seen as potential risks to Sona BLW’s earnings, especially given the company’s significant exposure to the U.S. market and its reliance on EVs, which currently make up 77% of its order book.

Sona BLW has been previously favored by analysts due to its growing EV order book, an expanding total addressable market for its products as EVs require higher content per vehicle, broadening product offerings, and a robust order book valued at $2.8 billion, which is six times the company’s trailing sales. These elements have contributed to a 32% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in EBITDA over the past five years.

However, despite these strengths, Bernstein now sees a risk of earnings downgrades for Sona BLW. The firm’s analysts believe that these risks could limit the stock’s upside potential, following its recent rally in the market.

The latest price target of INR540.00 represents a slight decrease from the previous target of INR550.00, indicating a more cautious outlook on the stock’s future performance amid the evolving market and geopolitical landscape.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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