Stifel lowers Dyne Therapeutics stock price target to $36 on endpoint changes

Published 30/07/2025, 22:32
Stifel lowers Dyne Therapeutics stock price target to $36 on endpoint changes

Investing.com - Stifel has reduced its price target on Dyne Therapeutics (NASDAQ:DYN) to $36.00 from $66.00 while maintaining a Buy rating following the company’s second-quarter 2025 earnings report. The new target still represents significant upside potential from the current price of $9.91, though the stock has faced headwinds with a -61% year-to-date return according to InvestingPro data.

The firm cited the company’s unexpected pivot to vHOT as the primary endpoint in its registrational study as a key factor in the price target reduction. Despite this change, Stifel characterized the June update as a "clearing event" for regulatory uncertainty, suggesting Dyne now has a clearer path to accelerated approval for its DM1 treatment. With a market capitalization of $1.41 billion and an overall Financial Health score of "FAIR" from InvestingPro, the company maintains a strong current ratio of 20.35.

Stifel noted that Dyne has successfully addressed financing concerns, while its DMD candidate has registrational data expected later this year. The firm also mentioned that safety issues with gene therapy approaches in DMD may increase interest in next-generation exon skippers like DYNE-251.

The price target adjustment reflects Stifel’s updated financial model, which accounts for Dyne’s recent financing round, higher projected expenses, and lower sales estimates for the DM1 treatment in its initial years on market.

Stifel maintains that Dyne Therapeutics presents "one of the most compelling risk/reward setups" in its coverage universe over the next 12+ months, with upcoming registrational data in both DMD and DM1 serving as potential catalysts. This view aligns with the broader analyst consensus, which remains strongly bullish with a 1.59 recommendation score (where 1 is Strong Buy). According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears fairly valued based on its proprietary Fair Value model.

In other recent news, Dyne Therapeutics announced that it has secured a $275 million loan facility from Hercules Capital (NYSE:HTGC), with $100 million available immediately and the remainder contingent on achieving certain milestones. Additionally, the company plans to raise $200 million through a public offering of common stock, priced at $8.25 per share. Following these financing activities, Bernstein adjusted its price target for Dyne Therapeutics to $11.50, maintaining a Market Perform rating.

In regulatory developments, Dyne’s investigational treatment DYNE-101 received Breakthrough Therapy Designation from the FDA for myotonic dystrophy type 1. The company intends to seek Accelerated Approval in the U.S. based on new data from its ACHIEVE clinical trial. Analyst firm H.C. Wainwright reiterated a Buy rating with a $38 price target, noting the potential for accelerated approval endpoints. Meanwhile, Jones Trading initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $30 price target, citing upcoming clinical data as key catalysts. These developments reflect ongoing strategic and clinical progress for Dyne Therapeutics.

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