ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI shows unexpected growth, surpassing forecasts

Published 04/09/2025, 15:02
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI shows unexpected growth, surpassing forecasts

The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) has reported a significant rise, indicative of an expansion in the non-manufacturing sector. The actual figure came in at 52.0, surpassing both the forecasted figure and the previous month’s data.

Analysts had predicted a forecast of 50.9 for the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, a figure which the actual data comfortably exceeded. This unexpected growth suggests a more robust expansion in the non-manufacturing sector than initially anticipated. A reading above 50 percent indicates that the non-manufacturing sector economy is generally expanding, and this latest figure of 52.0 certainly supports that conclusion.

Moreover, when compared to the previous month’s PMI, the actual figure shows a significant increase. The previous data was recorded at 50.1, a full 1.9 points lower than the current figure. This rise is a clear indication of the non-manufacturing sector’s strengthening position and its positive impact on the overall economic condition.

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI is a composite index based on the diffusion indexes for four of the indicators with equal weights: Business Activity (seasonally adjusted), New Orders (seasonally adjusted), Employment (seasonally adjusted) and Supplier Deliveries. The report is compiled from monthly replies to questions asked of more than 370 purchasing and supply executives in over 62 different industries.

A higher than expected reading is generally interpreted as positive for the USD. Therefore, this unexpected growth in the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI will likely be taken as bullish for the USD, contributing to a positive outlook for the US economy.

In conclusion, the unexpected rise in the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI is a positive sign of the non-manufacturing sector’s expansion, surpassing both forecasted and previous figures. This could potentially lead to a bullish outlook for the USD and the overall US economy.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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