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Lance Roberts

https://realinvestmentadvice.com/
  • Analysis & Comment

Lance Roberts's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of Lance Roberts's articles, including current analysis & comment.

The recent market crack certainly woke up the more complacent bullish investors. Of course, the complacency was warranted, given the recent market surge, conversations about “TINA” (There...
Every market cycle eventually changes investor psychology to believe risk has been conquered. The storylines may change, from “this time it’s different” to “the Fed has our back,” but the psychology...
ChatGPT’s Advice on Navigating Volatile Markets
By Lance Roberts - Oct 18, 2025
Recently, my associate Jon Penn, CFP, was looking for topics to discuss with me on the #RealInvestmentShow. He asked his wife to help him with his topic search, so she asked ChatGPT a simple...
Is QT on Its Last Lap?
By Lance Roberts - Oct 16, 2025
Chairman Powell spoke on Tuesday, addressing several topics. Of note was the following quote: “We may be approaching the end of our balance sheet contraction in the coming months.” The...
On Tuesday morning, Bloomberg featured an article entitled The Great Debasement Is Rippling Across Markets. From the start of the year until its low in the middle of September, the US Dollar Index...
The Altcoin Liquidity Bloodbath
By Lance Roberts - Oct 14, 2025
Last Friday, the cryptocurrency market experienced a violent crash. The trigger was President Trump’s announcement of a 100% additional tariff on Chinese imports. The sudden and unexpected...
When bear market losses occur, headlines talk in percentages: “The market dropped 20 %.” Investors nod. A 20 % decline sounds manageable, historical, and expected. As Ben Carlson recently...
If you want to understand where we are in the cycle, skip the noise and follow profits. Corporate profits are the lifeblood of investment, hiring, and market returns. Crucially, linkage to the real...
Why the Fed’s Liquidity Tank Is Running Low
By Lance Roberts - Oct 09, 2025
The graph below, courtesy of the St. Louis Fed, charts the amount of money in the Fed’s overnight reverse repurchase agreement (ON RRP) facility. To understand why the current lack of a...
As we led in yesterday’s Commentary, AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) rose 25% on the news that OpenAI would purchase 10% of AMD. In exchange, OpenAI will become a significant customer of AMD. This symbiotic...