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Lance Roberts

  • Analysis & Comment

Lance Roberts's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of Lance Roberts's articles, including current analysis & comment - Page 19

On Monday, markets were rocked by news that a Chinese Artificial Intelligence model, DeepSeek, performed better than expected at a lower development cost. As we noted yesterday: “The 3% panic...
There is a very high correlation between small/mid-cap stocks’ annual rate of change and the NFIB small business confidence index. Business owners tend to lean conservatively, favoring policies that...
Do Money Supply, Deficit and QE Create Inflation?
By Lance Roberts - Jan 25, 2025
I recently debated with Michael Pento, who made an interesting statement that increases in the money supply, the deficit, and a return to quantitative easing (QE) will lead to 1970s-style inflation....
Are Return Expectations for 2025 Too High?
By Lance Roberts - Jan 21, 2025
In a recent post, I discussed Wall Street’s return estimates for 2025 for the S&P 500 index. To wit: “We have some early indications of Wall Street targets for the S&P 500 index, and, as is...
January Back To Positive Last week, we noted that while closely watching how the full month of January will turn out, we did generate a positive return during the first five trading days. “As of...
As we head into 2025, investors are giddy over the market returns of the last two years. As shown, the annual returns, while elevated, have come with only average volatility along the way. However,...
In last week’s discussion with Thoughtful Money, I noted that we are becoming more “tactically bearish” as we progress into 2025. While we have remained primarily bullish in equity positioning over...
S&P 500: Is This the Start of a Bigger Pullback?
By Lance Roberts - Jan 13, 2025
Last week, we addressed the inability to sugarcoat the market’s poor performance heading into year-end. Furthermore, we discussed the “January Barometer,” which sets the year’s tone. To...
I publish an updated version of my New Year “investor” resolutions yearly. The purpose of the process is to take an annual inventory of what I did and did not do over the last year to improve my...
“Curb Your Enthusiasm,” which ran its series finale last year, starred Larry David as an over-the-top version of himself in a comedy series that showed how seemingly trivial details of day-to-day...