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Avi Gilburt

  • Analysis & Comment

Avi Gilburt's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of Avi Gilburt's articles, including current analysis & comment.

The Banking System May Be Starting to Crack
By Avi Gilburt - Sep 17, 2025
This week, Tricolor Holdings, the third-largest auto lender in California and Texas, filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy. Bloomberg and Reuters report that the company’s bankruptcy filing lists both...
HSBC’s 2Q25 results reveal that the situation in the global CRE market continues to deteriorate at a very concerning pace. Although HSBC is a UK bank, it now generates the majority of its...
The Financial Stability Board (FSB), the world’s global financial regulator, has recently issued another major warning on shadow banking. The watchdog published a report emphasizing that the industry...
If I had told you that Israel and Iran went to war and escalated that war throughout this past week, I am sure you would have expected gold to have rallied quite strongly. Well, the truth is that...
It is now almost 14 years since I published my first public article on gold Analysis. Back in August of 2011, I outlined my expectation for a top in gold at $1,915 even though it was involved in a...
The NY Fed has recently published a study on bank failures in the U.S., examining the reasons why banks fail. For this study, the regulator constructed a large database with balance sheet information...
In several past articles, I have tried to prepare those reading my analysis for the strong probability that we can see a long-term bear market in the S&P 500. I have outlined the many reasons...
S&P 500: Long-Term Bear Market Ahead?
By Avi Gilburt - Jan 14, 2025
I recently read an article that was warning about a repeat of the 1929 Depression. While I believe the author correctly believes that we are approaching the end of a long-term bullish market cycle,...
Could the S&P 500 Target 7000+ in 2025?
By Avi Gilburt - Jan 06, 2025
As I run a market analysis service for over 8500 members and approximately 1000 money managers, there are a lot of things that are discussed and cited in our trading rooms. For example, this was...
Well, that was quite an eventful week. We had a Fed announcement, and all the market geniuses were quick to attribute the cause of the 3% decline to the Fed announcement. However, this is nothing...