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Michael Lebowitz

  • Analysis & Comment

Michael Lebowitz's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of Michael Lebowitz's articles, including current analysis & comment.

The Nvidia Earnings Train Keeps on Rolling
By Michael Lebowitz - Aug 29, 2025
Once again, Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) continues to see its earnings and revenues grow at astonishing rates. Consider the following:EPS was $1.08, handily beating estimates of $1.01. At $46.7 billion in...
In his 1687 book, Philosophiae Naturalis Principia Mathematica, Sir Isaac Newton defined momentum as the product of mass and velocity, or p = m * v. The reason we begin with a physics lesson is that...
Calm Markets Are Hiding Significant Rotations
By Michael Lebowitz - Aug 22, 2025
The market seas are calm, but beneath the surface, there is some intense churning, or in market terminology, significant stock rotations. Over the last week, the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq were...
Shares of United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) are around the same price they were in March 2020, when the pandemic shut down economic activity. At the time, the global economy was decimated. In...
Since 2015, the performance of the S&P 500 has been more than double that of stocks from the Euro Stoxx 50 (FEZ) and the iShares developed markets ETF (NYSE:EFA). However, recently the tide has...
How is the weather in the United States? You could answer by citing an average temperature or precipitation level. However, doing so would severely misrepresent the weather in many parts of the...
Is Conviction the Biggest Risk to the Stock Market?
By Michael Lebowitz - Aug 15, 2025
Edward Harrison of Bloomberg recently made the following important market observation: “buying stuff you don’t believe in creates downside risk.” Conviction is a measure of how much...
Following the release of our article The High Beta Melt Up- Echoes of 1999, we received a few emails complaining that we left our readers hanging. They wanted to know how investors could have shifted...
Fed’s Data Dependence May Risk Delayed Rate Cuts
By Michael Lebowitz - Aug 08, 2025
For months, we have been warning that the labor markets are not as strong as the BLS data attests. Six months ago, we wrote: While labor market data is generally good, there are signs the labor...
Does Trump Have a Valid Point About Rate Cuts?
By Michael Lebowitz - Aug 04, 2025
President Trump has been incessantly pressuring Jerome Powell to cut rates ever since he took office. To wit, check out Trump’s latest post on Truth Social below. The Fed cut rates in late 2024 but...