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Michael Lebowitz

720 Global
  • Analysis & Comment

Michael Lebowitz's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of Michael Lebowitz's articles, including current analysis & comment - Page 13

Part One of this article described the burgeoning bull steepening yield curve environment and what it implies about economic growth and Fed policy. It also discussed the three other predominant types...
The level of U.S. Treasury yields and the changing shape of the Treasury yield curve provide investors with critical feedback regarding the market’s expectations for economic growth, inflation, and...
Profitable bond trading opportunities arise when your expectations about Fed policy differ from those of the market. Therefore, with the Fed seemingly embarking on a series of interest rate cuts, it...
Are Dr. Doom's Claims of Stealth QE Justified?
By Michael Lebowitz - Aug 14, 2024
A recent article co-authored by Stephen Miran and Dr. Nouriel Roubini, aka Dr. Doom, accuses the U.S. Treasury Department of using its debt-issuance powers to manipulate financial conditions. They...
Confidence Is the Underappreciated Economic Engine
By Michael Lebowitz - Aug 10, 2024
Ask economists how they forecast economic activity. It’s likely they will mention productivity, demographics, debt, the Fed, interest rates, and a litany of other elements. Economic confidence is...
The graph below, making the rounds on social media, serves as evidence from many market pundits that the significant outperformance of large-cap growth stocks versus small-cap value stocks is due for...
As we shared in a recent Daily Commentary about interest rates: The current unemployment rate is 4%, and the core PCE inflation rate is 2.6%. In December 2019, the unemployment rate was 3.6%, and...
On December 5, 1996, Chairman of the Fed Alan Greenspan offered that stock prices may be too high, thus risking a correction that could result in an economic fallout. He wondered out loud if the...
Here's Why the Petrodollar Isn't Going Anywhere
By Michael Lebowitz - Jul 06, 2024
The Fed and economists are encouraged because CPI is down to 3.3% from a high of nearly 9% in 2022. Despite the Fed’s “significant progress” in lowering inflation, most citizens are outraged and...