David Scutt's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of David Scutt's articles, including current analysis & comment.
Directional risks may be skewing lower, but the pair remains sensitive to Fed policy and U.S. labour market data for any decisive breakout.USD/JPY closes below 50-day MA for the first time since...
Trump threatens tariffs, chip curbs against Europe
France and U.K. face renewed fiscal concerns
China inflation, stocks and bonds hint at reflation
EUR/AUD, GBP/AUD setups tilt bearish on...
Independence doubts, tariff threats, and a dovish FOMC tilt—traders now have a new cocktail of risks to navigate.Fed Governor Lisa Cook removed by Trump, raising questions on central bank...
Gold and silver are sliding as higher yields and a firmer US dollar take their toll, while geopolitics erodes safe-haven demand. With charts flashing risk of breakdowns, support levels are in sharp...
The RBNZ cut the OCR to 3% and signalled more cuts ahead, with two members favouring a 50bp move. The dovish deviation has hammered the New Zealand dollar.
OCR cut 25bp to 3%, track lowered sharply...
The August playbook for USD/JPY has been simple: buy dips below 147, sell rallies above 148. Without a surprise from Powell or politics, that looks set to continue this week.
Traditional USD/JPY...
With President Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent openly pushing for large cuts, the backdrop for gold is turning even more supportive as gold coils near key resistance.Trump and...
The Aussie dollar faces two major tests with wages and jobs data due this week, threatening to bring forward RBA rate cuts if labour market weakness persists. EUR/AUD trades in a bull flag, while...
The franc’s underperformance has extended into August, with USD/CHF and EUR/CHF finding support ahead of a key U.S. inflation print that could set the tone for the next move.
CHF has lagged since...
Fed rate cut expectations have been the primary driver of USD/JPY this month, making Tuesday’s US CPI report a potential catalyst for a break from the recent range.
USD/JPY tied closely to Fed rate...