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David Scutt

  • Analysis & Comment

David Scutt's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of David Scutt's articles, including current analysis & comment.

A sharp reversal in EUR/CHF has been driven by a tariff hit to the franc and growing Fed rate cut bets favouring the euro, leaving the pair testing range highs. Tariff hike weighs on CHF...
Tariff pain is coming for Switzerland, but the bigger FX story remains the softening US outlook. EUR/USD is extending gains, while USD/CHF looks to have topped out for now. USD/CHF turning bearish...
New Zealand’s unemployment rate edged up to 5.2%, beating market expectations but softer details highlight growing slack and limited wage pressures. New Zealand unemployment up to 5.2%, matching...
Fed rate cut bets are piling up, driving USD/JPY lower while helping EUR/USD stabilize. ISM and fresh Fed commentary could determine if the moves gather pace. Rate cut bets weigh on the dollar,...
With Fed cut bets firming and political headlines unsettling investors, USD/JPY may hinge less on near-term data and more on whether long-end yields hold the line. Payrolls revised down by 258k,...
Trump’s tariff hike on Canada grabbed headlines, but it’s Fed repricing and Powell’s hawkish tone that have kept USD/CAD pushing higher ahead of payrolls. Trump lifts Canadian tariffs to 35% Fed cut...
Australia’s June inflation report showed the trimmed mean easing to 2.6%, matching the RBA’s forecast and firming market bets for an August cut. AUD/USD held steady while the ASX 200 pushed higher...
The US and EU confirmed a long-anticipated trade pact, halving threatened tariffs and pledging major investment and energy deals. The euro (EUR/USD) firmed, gold (XAU/USD) extended losses, and...
The US dollar gained ground against the Japanese yen and Swiss franc as Fed rate cut bets were pared back. With bullish price patterns now forming, could the move stretch further into Friday’s...
Correlation breakdowns are pointing to a regime shift in FX markets. With Fed expectations less dominant, GBP/USD and USD/CAD are thriving in a low-volatility, risk-on environment. USD correlations...