GitLab maintains stock target, buy rating with strong FQ2 performance

Published 04/09/2024, 13:48
GitLab maintains stock target, buy rating with strong FQ2 performance

On Wednesday, Canaccord Genuity sustained its Buy rating and $65.00 stock price target for GitLab Inc (NASDAQ:GTLB), following the company's impressive second fiscal quarter results. GitLab's total revenue saw a 31% increase, while its calculated remaining performance obligations (cRPO) grew by 42%. This top-line growth significantly contributed to the company's profit surge, with operating margins expanding by 1230 basis points from the first quarter and 1310 basis points year-over-year.

The company's robust performance during the quarter was attributed to a combination of seat-based growth, including the addition of Duo licenses, average revenue per user (ARPU) improvements, and some tier conversions to higher bundles like the Ultimate SKU.

Management highlighted several major deployments of over a thousand Duo users, signaling progression in the Duo attach motion and its potential as a significant growth driver for fiscal year 2026 and beyond.

From an artificial intelligence (AI) code generation standpoint, GitLab's Duo and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT)'s GitHub Copilot are nearly equivalent. With GitHub Copilot adopted by 77,000 organizations and contributing to a $2 billion annual recurring revenue (ARR) for GitHub, GitLab anticipates a similar business impact as its product continues to penetrate the market.

Despite the unexpected departure of former Chief Revenue Officer Chris Weber in August, the company has managed the transition effectively while searching for a replacement. This change introduces some additional execution risk. However, the firm emphasizes that it remains a growth-first software market, with GitLab demonstrating its ability to expand revenue through seat expansions in the current software buying environment.

GitLab's unique end-to-end platform approach, starting from source code management, has been resonating with customers. Having achieved profitability, Canaccord Genuity expects operating leverage to naturally occur as the company scales in a substantial software deployment market. The reiterated Buy rating and $65 price target are based on approximately 11 times the estimated 2025 enterprise value to revenue, which is considered fair for GitLab's growth and margin profile.

In other recent news, GitLab Inc. has been in the spotlight following a series of analyst adjustments and strong financial results. Piper Sandler maintained an Overweight rating on GitLab, with a $75 price target, following an impressive second-quarter performance that surpassed expectations.

Similarly, Baird, RBC Capital Markets, Cantor Fitzgerald, Wells Fargo, and BofA Securities raised their price targets for the company, reflecting confidence in its robust financial performance and growth potential.

GitLab's second quarter results showed a 7.9% sequential increase in revenue, outperforming the same quarter last year by 38.1%. The company's Ultimate tier product played a significant role in this success, accounting for 47% of the company's total Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and representing two-thirds of the net new ARR from customers who contribute over $100,000 in ARR.

Advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) also contributed to GitLab's impressive quarter, with AI expected to become a significant factor in the company's growth by fiscal year 2026. GitLab's competitive advantage is growing, as it continues to secure extensive enterprise deals, leveraging its comprehensive platform and security features.

Moreover, GitLab announced an executive change with Ashley Kramer appointed as the Interim Chief Revenue Officer following the resignation of Christopher Weber. The company's approach to integrating security features has been bolstered by recent acquisitions of Oxeye and Rezilion, enhancing GitLab's platform. These are the recent developments concerning GitLab Inc.

InvestingPro Insights

GitLab Inc (NASDAQ:GTLB) has been navigating the market with some noteworthy financial metrics and analyst revisions that investors should consider. According to InvestingPro data, GitLab boasts a substantial market capitalization of $7.1 billion, which is reflective of its strong presence in the software industry.

Despite not being profitable over the last twelve months, analysts are optimistic about GitLab's future, as evidenced by 21 analysts revising their earnings upwards for the upcoming period. This optimism is further bolstered by GitLab's impressive gross profit margin of approximately 89.63% in the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, a clear indicator of the company's efficiency in managing its cost of goods sold relative to its revenue.

However, the company's valuation metrics present a mixed picture. GitLab is trading at a high Price / Book multiple of 12.5, which suggests that the market is pricing the company's assets at a premium. The P/E ratio stands at -16.13, reflecting the current lack of profitability.

Moreover, GitLab's stock has experienced a significant downturn over the last six months, with a price total return of -40.0%, indicating a period of market pessimism. For those seeking more insights, InvestingPro offers a wealth of additional tips on GitLab, including the company's liquidity and debt position, revenue valuation multiple, and more. There are 9 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be found at https://www.investing.com/pro/GTLB, providing investors with a deeper understanding of GitLab's financial health and market potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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