ISM Manufacturing PMI sees slight increase, but falls short of expectations

Published 02/09/2025, 15:04
ISM Manufacturing PMI sees slight increase, but falls short of expectations

The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) has released its latest Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) report, providing a crucial insight into the current state of the U.S. manufacturing sector. The report is based on data compiled from monthly surveys of purchasing and supply executives in over 400 industrial companies.

The actual number for the ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 48.7. This figure, while showing a slight improvement, fell short of the anticipated forecast of 49.0. The data indicates that while there has been a marginal uptick in manufacturing activity, it has not been as robust as expected.

When comparing the actual number to the forecasted number, the ISM Manufacturing PMI was 0.3 points below the predicted figure. This suggests that analysts may have been overly optimistic in their assessments of the manufacturing sector’s performance.

The actual number also shows an increase when compared to the previous PMI figure, which stood at 48.0. This indicates a 0.7 point rise, suggesting a slight strengthening in the manufacturing sector, albeit at a slower pace than projected.

The ISM Manufacturing PMI is a composite index based on the seasonally adjusted diffusion indices for five key indicators, including new orders, production, employment, supplier deliveries, and inventories. A higher than expected reading is viewed as positive for the USD, while a lower than expected reading is seen as negative.

Despite the slight increase, the PMI remains below the 50-mark, which separates expansion from contraction. This suggests that while the manufacturing sector is showing signs of resilience, it continues to face headwinds. The data underscores the ongoing challenges faced by the manufacturing industry, as it grapples with supply chain disruptions and other macroeconomic uncertainties.

The ISM Manufacturing PMI is closely watched by investors and policymakers alike, as it provides a timely snapshot of the health of the U.S. manufacturing sector, which is a crucial component of the broader economy. The latest data will likely fuel further debate about the pace of economic recovery and the appropriate policy responses.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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