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James Picerno
Will Fed's Rate Hike Spell Trouble for Regional Banks? By James Picerno - May 03, 2023

Raising interest rates always comes with risk for the economy, but the stakes are higher than usual at a time when banking turmoil appears to be reviving. Nonetheless, markets are expecting that the...

Michael Lebowitz
Bank Stocks: Do the Rewards Warrant the Risk? By Michael Lebowitz - May 03, 2023

Bank stocks have underperformed conservative sectors and the broader S&P 500. Banks typically only have an approximate 10% equity cushion supporting their assets. Such leverage creates bankruptcy...

James Picerno
Annual Global Market Return Forecast Drops to 5.9% By James Picerno - May 02, 2023

The expected long-run return for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked down to a 5.9% annualized pace in April, fractionally lower vs. last month’s estimate. The forecast, based on the average...

Craig Thompson
Stock Market Not as Strong as You May Think By Craig Thompson - May 01, 2023

The Fed is raising rates in hopes of taming inflation by reducing demand. When the Fed eventually reverses course and begins to lower rates, it will be accompanied by a weak economy (probably a...

Dr. Arnout ter Schure
S&P 500 Closes in on Larger Top By Dr. Arnout ter Schure - May 01, 2023

Ten days ago, we warned that the S&P 500 (SPX) was approaching a local top: “The index has topped and bottomed where it should go for the grey W-ii, -iii, and -iv of the green W-5 of the red...

Declan Fallon
Nasdaq and S&P 500 Test Resistance, Russell 2000 Struggles By Declan Fallon - May 01, 2023

Bears could not press their advantage when the first challenge of resistance failed. Instead, buyers mounted a fresh charge with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 recording accumulation days. For the last...

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