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U.S. Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations

Latest Release

Sep 12, 2025

Actual

4.8%

Forecast

4.8%

University of Michigan (UoM) Inflation Expectations measures the percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months. There are two versions of this data released two weeks apart,Preliminary and Revised. The preliminary release is the earliest so tends to have more impact.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: University of Michigan

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Oct 10, 2025 (Oct)	16:00			4.8%
Sep 26, 2025 (Sep)	16:00		4.8%	4.8%
Sep 12, 2025 (Sep)	16:00	4.8%	4.8%	4.8%
Aug 29, 2025 (Aug)	16:00	4.8%	4.9%	4.9%
Aug 15, 2025 (Aug)	16:00	4.9%	4.4%	4.5%
Aug 01, 2025 (Jul)	16:00	4.5%	4.4%	5.0%

News

U.S. consumer sentiment hit five-month high in July - University of Michigan index By Investing.com - Jul 18, 2025

Investing.com - U.S. consumer sentiment touched its highest point in five months in July, but remains well below its historical average, as concerns swirl around the impact of sweeping U.S....

U.S. consumer sentiment plunges in April as tariffs fuel growth, inflation fears By Investing.com - Apr 11, 2025

Investing.com - U.S. consumer sentiment plunged by 11% in April compared to the previous month, while year-ahead inflation expectations hit their highest mark since the early 1980s, fueled by growing...

Top 5 things to watch in markets in the week ahead By Investing.com - Apr 21, 2024

Investing.com -- Earnings from the big tech names and another round of inflation data are due in the coming week, as a rally in U.S. stocks appears to be running out of steam partially due to worries...

Analysis

Persistent Inflation, Soft Jobs Data Leave Fed in Policy Tug-of-War By Brent Schutte - Sep 16, 2025

All eyes are on the Federal Reserve as it convenes for its September meeting this week, with economists and investors alike betting that Wednesday will bring the first in a series of interest rate...

Yields Down, Bonds Up: Interim Play Before Next Inflationary Phase By Gary Tanashian - Sep 05, 2025

A recession (and bond rally) is oncoming, but first the stock market has to finish doing what it does…In the time it took to write this post the stock market has rethought its initial...

Gold Rally Signals Uneasy Confidence Amid Sticky Inflation and Politicized Fed By Frank Holmes - Sep 02, 2025

Markets surged after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell suggested at Jackson Hole that the U.S. central bank may be ready to cut interest rates in September. Traders took it as a green light,...

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