Breaking News

U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism

Latest Release

Aug 12, 2025

Actual

100.3

Forecast

98.9

98.6

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Small Business Optimism Index is a composite of ten seasonally adjusted components. It comprises survey results from amongst the organisation's members. In providing an indication of the health of small businesses in the U.S., it is important to watch as roughly 50% of the nation's private workforce work for small businesses. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: National Federation of Indepen...

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Aug 12, 2025 (Jul)	12:00	100.3	98.9	98.6
Jul 08, 2025 (Jun)	12:00	98.6	98.7	98.8
Jun 10, 2025 (May)	12:00	98.8	95.9	95.8
May 13, 2025 (Apr)	12:00	95.8	94.9	97.4
Apr 08, 2025 (Mar)	12:00	97.4	98.9	100.7
Mar 11, 2025 (Feb)	12:00	100.7	100.9	102.8

News

Consumer prices, small business optimism, Home Depot: 3 things to watch By Investing.com - Nov 13, 2023

Investing.com -- Stocks are muted with minutes to go before the closing bell on Monday as investors await the Tuesday release of consumer price index data for October. Expectations are for inflation...

Dow futures steady, Israel-Hamas war in focus By Investing.com - Oct 10, 2023

Investing.com - U.S. stock futures were trading in a tight range during Monday's evening deals, following a positive session for major benchmark averages as oil prices surged after the eruption of the...

PepsiCo earnings, small business optimism, Fed speakers: 3 things to watch By Investing.com - Oct 09, 2023

Investing.com -- Stocks ended higher on Monday, erasing losses from earlier in the day amid escalating conflict in the Middle East. This week includes the release of two key inflation reports that...

Analysis

Limited US Tariff Impact Allows Fed to Cut Rates From September By James Knightley - Aug 12, 2025

Inflation was broadly in line with expectations as tariffs continue to be largely absorbed within US corporate profit margins. This gives the Fed the room to respond to the weaker jobs backdrop and...

US Dollar: Hot Inflation May Only Give Short-Lived Support By Francesco Pesole - Aug 12, 2025

We expect a 0.4% month-on-month core CPI print in the US today, above the 0.3% consensus. That should offer the US dollar support, but we don’t think that will prompt markets to seriously price out a...

Rates Spark: Tuesday’s Fiscal and CPI Data Can Prove Troubling By Padhraic Garvey, CFA - Aug 12, 2025

We think both US CPI inflation and the US fiscal deficit can come in higher than expected, with the latter most meaningful. Brewing trouble here for Treasuries. In the eurozone, the 2Y euro swap rate...

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