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James Picerno

www.CapitalSpectator.com
  • Analysis & Comment

James Picerno's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of James Picerno's articles, including current analysis & comment - Page 36

The S&P 500 Index’s rise in recent weeks puts it within shouting distance of its record high, set in January 2022. Yet some analysts warn that the narrow leadership of Big Tech stocks leaves...
It’s been a profitable year for the major asset classes, with a glaring exception: commodities. The general slide in prices of raw materials stands out in an otherwise rising tide for global...
US economic activity is still on track to slow after strong growth in the third quarter, but recession risk remains low, based on a set of nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.Next month’s...
A month ago the trend in global markets remained bullish despite the fallout from a correction that started mid-summer, based on several sets of ETF pairs. Following yesterday’s upbeat...
Today’s update of the “fair-value” model for the US 10-year Treasury yield reaffirms that the benchmark rate appears unusually high relative to the economic fundamentals.Although...
Key drivers of the strong performance for the US stock market this year are technology (NYSE:XLK) and consumer discretionary (NYSE:XLY) sectors, based on a set of ETF proxies through...
With just three weeks left to the year, nearly all corners of global markets are on track to post gains for 2023, based on a set of index ETFs. The US stock market is still leading the field by a...
US economic growth remains on track to slow in the fourth quarter, but today’s revised analysis still supports a “soft landing” outlook that will keep output strong enough to...
For much of the past month and a half, the S&P 500 has rallied, recovering all of the lost ground from the summer/fall correction.The market is currently trading at just below its July high. A...
The US was supposed to be in recession by now, according to numerous forecasts from early in 2023. But the bearish forecasts have fallen flat as output has remained positive. GDP surged in the third...