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Matthew Weller

  • Analysis & Comment

Matthew Weller's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of Matthew Weller's articles, including current analysis & comment.

The recent trend of “disinflation” in US CPI, or fading price pressures, is likely to at least partially reverse this month. Here's what to expect from today's report: US CPI Key Takeaways: US CPI...
Multiple longer-term indicators suggest that we still may not have seen a cycle top in Bitcoin yet. To the topside, the next levels to watch are at $118K (the 127.2% Fibonacci extension of the Q1...
July has historically been a bullish month for GBP/USD going back to the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 - will it hold this month? July Forex Seasonality Key Points July has historically been a...
The outlook for Bitcoin and Ethereum remains supportive from a sentiment and flow perspective - see the key levels to watch from here! Bitcoin, Ethereum Key Points The outlook for Bitcoin and...
As concerns over US trade policy and deficit spending have grown, forex traders have consistently sold the US dollar across the board This morning’s better-than-expected Flash PMI figures out of the...
Britain and the European Union struck “Brexit Reset” pact in an attempt to remove trade bottlenecks and inject fresh momentum into both economies. Traders appear to approve the deal, with both the...
GBP/USD Key Points This morning’s UofM Consumer Sentiment survey fell to 50.8, the second-lowest on record, driven in large part by a rise in 1-year (to 7.3%) and 5-year (4.6%) inflation...
May has historically seen weakness in EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and AUD/USD going back to the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971. In contrast, USD/JPY and USD/CAD have seen more mixed performance in...
One big factor weighing on DXY is the lack of clarity about what the tariffs are ultimately meant to accomplish. The lack of a consistent message about the primary purpose driving the aggressive...
For a government that has never shied away from taking an active role in markets, China’s ruling party has seemingly taken a laissez faire approach to its currency despite the Trump Administration’s...