Matthew Weller's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of Matthew Weller's articles, including current analysis & comment.
Canadian Dollar, USD/CAD Key Points
Traders are highly confident that the FOMC will cut interest rates by 25bps when it next meets…in 6+ weeks
ISM Services PMI sees falling employment and surging...
August has historically been the most bearish month for GBP/USD and AUD/USD going back to the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 - see the data!
August Forex Seasonality Key Points
August has...
The Big Mac Index is a common measure of exchange rates, but can it be used to make trading decisions? Find out what the Big Mac Index is and how it works.
What is the Economist’s Big Mac Index?
The...
The recent trend of “disinflation” in US CPI, or fading price pressures, is likely to at least partially reverse this month. Here's what to expect from today's report:
US CPI Key Takeaways:
US CPI...
Multiple longer-term indicators suggest that we still may not have seen a cycle top in Bitcoin yet. To the topside, the next levels to watch are at $118K (the 127.2% Fibonacci extension of the Q1...
July has historically been a bullish month for GBP/USD going back to the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 - will it hold this month?
July Forex Seasonality Key Points
July has historically been a...
The outlook for Bitcoin and Ethereum remains supportive from a sentiment and flow perspective - see the key levels to watch from here!
Bitcoin, Ethereum Key Points
The outlook for Bitcoin and...
As concerns over US trade policy and deficit spending have grown, forex traders have consistently sold the US dollar across the board
This morning’s better-than-expected Flash PMI figures out of the...
Britain and the European Union struck “Brexit Reset” pact in an attempt to remove trade bottlenecks and inject fresh momentum into both economies.
Traders appear to approve the deal, with both the...
GBP/USD Key Points
This morning’s UofM Consumer Sentiment survey fell to 50.8, the second-lowest on record, driven in large part by a rise in 1-year (to 7.3%) and 5-year (4.6%) inflation...