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Chris Turner

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  • Analysis & Comment

Chris Turner's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of Chris Turner's articles, including current analysis & comment - Page 4

Some calm is returning to FX markets after another day of trade-driven volatility. The 90-day pause in the US-China trade war has allowed the US dollar to recoup some losses, although we doubt it...
The US dollar started the day a little stronger after last night's FOMC meeting, which was read as an acknowledgement of the risk of stagflation (no early Fed cuts). Also, helping the dollar is the...
One might have thought that news of formal trade talks between the US and China would have seen the US dollar bid better. In fact, the dollar is struggling to hold a 0.5% rally against the big...
US equities have now erased almost 90% of their losses seen in the aftermath of 'Liberation Day'. The mood music on trade has improved slightly, and a US-Ukraine minerals deal helps, too. The next...
The mood music coming from the European Central Bank (ECB) sounds fairly dovish, with some even speculating over 50bp of rate cuts. Concerns over inflation seem to have largely evaporated, and...
Financial markets are ending the week a little calmer. Traded US equity volatility has dropped back to 'Liberation Day' levels and some modest gains in global stock markets have seen the US dollar...
FX markets are a little calmer, but traded volatility levels remain elevated. What interests us today is the February Balance of Payments data in the eurozone and the Bank of Canada rate decision....
The ramifications of a global trade war are broadly negative for emerging and commodity-linked currencies. Liquid reserve currencies backed by large surpluses are likely to outperform. And we are now...
It's early days, but conditions in FX markets look like they're settling a little as the Easter holiday approaches. The US dollar continues to trade on a weak footing, and we wonder whether currency...
President Trump's surprise pause on some of the highest tariff measures once again upends any pretence that we understand his strategy. Pressed by an 8-week 20% correction in US equities, it now...