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Alexandria Real Estate stock target cut, rating held on potential risks

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 03/12/2024, 15:46
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On Tuesday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities adjusted its outlook on shares of Alexandria Real Estate Equities , Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:ARE), reducing the price target to $121 from the previous $142. The firm maintained its Outperform rating on the stock.

With a current market capitalization of $19.17 billion and an attractive dividend yield of 4.74%, ARE appears slightly undervalued according to InvestingPro analysis. The revision comes ahead of the company's investor day scheduled for December 4th, which is expected to address various investor concerns.

The analyst at Mizuho highlighted several areas of focus for the upcoming investor event. Among them are potential risks to the firm's Funds From Operations (FFO) estimates for 2025 and 2026, strategies for capital allocation, anticipated trends in occupancy and rents leading into fiscal year 2026, tenant health and expansion needs in the context of a shifting funding environment, and the overall demand pipeline.

The company's strong financial health score and 13-year track record of consecutive dividend increases underscore its operational stability. The "mega campus" strategy's impact on Alexandria's ability to gain market share in its core and development portfolio will also be a topic of interest.

In light of these considerations, Mizuho has revised downward its FFO estimates for Alexandria Real Estate. The 2025 FFO estimate has been lowered by 5% to $9.20, and the 2026 estimate has been adjusted to $9.61. These updated figures have led to the reduced price target.

The analyst also raised the question of whether the investor day might act as a "clearing event," potentially offering a multi-year outlook from the management. This perspective could provide clarity on the company's long-term strategic direction and financial expectations.

Investors and stakeholders are looking to the December 4th investor day for detailed insights into Alexandria Real Estate's operational and financial strategies as they navigate through the current market conditions. For deeper analysis and additional insights, including 8 more exclusive ProTips and comprehensive valuation metrics, investors can access the full company research report on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Alexandria Real Estate Equities showcased strong third-quarter performance in 2024, with a significant 48% increase in leasing activity. The company reported a rise in Funds From Operations (FFO) per share to $2.37, marking a 4.9% increase from the previous year, while total revenues and net operating income (NOI) increased by 10.9% and 12.5%, respectively.

Despite these positive results, JPMorgan downgraded the stock from Overweight to Neutral and lowered the price target to $121. This followed a revision of Alexandria's financial model, leading to lowered earnings estimates for the upcoming years.

Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) also downgraded the company from Buy to Hold, reducing the price target to $112, due to anticipated tenant move-outs and the company's planned $1.2 billion in dispositions.

Jefferies maintained a Hold rating but reduced the price target to $114, citing a disciplined funding environment and a significant uptick in biotech funding. These recent developments reflect analysts' mixed outlook on Alexandria's future financial performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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