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Susquehanna keeps Match Group shares Positive, points to low online dating penetration globally

Published 12/12/2024, 14:44
Susquehanna keeps Match Group shares Positive, points to low online dating penetration globally
MTCH
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On Thursday, Susquehanna maintained a Positive stance on Match Group (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MTCH), with a steady price target of $40.00. Currently trading at $31.48, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is undervalued, supported by a strong PEG ratio of 0.49 and an impressive Piotroski Score of 9. The firm's analysis highlighted Match Group's dominant position in the online dating industry and the significant growth potential that lies ahead. According to management, Match Group is the clear leader in a market that still has a considerable expansion opportunity.

Match Group, known for its various dating platforms, has not fully tapped into the global market of singles. With a robust gross profit margin of 72.44% and steady revenue growth of 6.12%, the company's $7.9B market cap reflects its strong market position. The company estimates the existence of 220 million singles outside China who have never used dating applications.

This figure includes 30 million from developed countries and 190 million from emerging markets. Additionally, there are about 30 million singles worldwide who have previously used dating apps but are not currently active.Discover more valuable insights about Match Group and access 7 additional exclusive ProTips with InvestingPro, including detailed financial health scores and comprehensive research reports.

The online dating sector's current penetration stands at an estimated 12% globally and 30% in developed markets, which underscores the substantial opportunity for growth. Trading at a P/E ratio of 13.21, Match Group's impressive reach, with 82 million monthly active users (MAUs) and 500 million matches per month across its brands, demonstrates its significant network effects. High user engagement is crucial for a successful dating app experience, and Match Group's figures affirm its status as the number one entity in the online dating space.

In other recent news, Match Group, a leading provider of dating products, has been the subject of numerous analyst notes. Citi has adjusted its price target for Match Group to $32, maintaining a neutral rating on the stock. The company's Q4 revenue expectations range between $865 million and $875 million, with a decrease anticipated for Tinder's revenue. However, Hinge, another app in Match Group's portfolio, has shown robust growth, with a 36% increase in revenue to $145 million.

Match Group's recent Investor Day presentations have drawn mixed reactions from analysts. While JPMorgan expressed skepticism about the event's potential impact, Evercore ISI maintained an Outperform rating and a $37.00 price target, highlighting the Investor Day as a potential turning point for investor sentiment. KeyBanc also maintains an Overweight rating on Match Group stock, with a price target of $43.

Analysts from Goldman Sachs and Truist Securities anticipate potential improvements in Tinder's performance towards the second half of 2025. Match Group's focus on enhancing Tinder's user experience and ecosystem was a key theme in the recent Investor Day presentations. The company's future performance now largely depends on the successful implementation of its product strategy, heavily incorporating artificial intelligence.

Match Group has also committed to return 100% of its free cash flow to shareholders, indicating a shift towards becoming more of a value stock.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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