Unilever stock faces challenges as RBC points to limited volume growth potential

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 06/01/2025, 09:12
Unilever stock faces challenges as RBC points to limited volume growth potential
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On Monday, RBC Capital Markets adjusted its stance on Unilever (LON:ULVR) plc stock, moving its rating from "Sector Perform" to "Underperform" and reducing the price target from £48.00 to £40.00. The revision by RBC analysts comes amid concerns regarding Unilever's ability to meet its growth targets.

According to InvestingPro data, Unilever, with its $140 billion market cap, maintains a "GOOD" overall financial health score, though current analysis suggests the stock may be slightly overvalued relative to its Fair Value.

The analysts noted that Unilever is challenged by its limited market leadership, with expectations to lead in only half of its business following its divestment from the ice cream segment.

They also pointed out that Unilever's portfolio includes a significant proportion of non-focus brands and markets, which account for 25% and 15% of its sales, respectively.

Despite these challenges, InvestingPro data shows the company maintains a strong market position with a 42.9% gross profit margin and has consistently paid dividends for 33 consecutive years.

RBC Capital analysts further highlighted a less favorable gross margin environment for Unilever, alongside the company's plans for capital investment that is substantially lower than what its competitors are undertaking. These factors contribute to the analysts' view that the company's valuation, which is nearing levels associated with best-in-class entities, is unwarranted.

The analysts' outlook suggests that the risk/reward balance for Unilever is skewed to the downside, prompting the downgrade in their rating. This assessment reflects RBC Capital Markets' skepticism about Unilever's potential to significantly improve volume performance and achieve its 2% growth aspiration.

In other recent news, Unilever has seen a steady growth trajectory, achieving a 4.5% increase in underlying sales in Q3, primarily driven by volume increases and strong performance in specific segments.

This growth comes as the company continues to implement its Growth Action (WA:ACT) Plan 2030, which focuses on market-making brands and aims to enhance performance through strategic pillars of Focus, Excel, and Accelerate. TD Cowen recently revised its price target for Unilever downwards to $70.00 from the previous $74.00, while maintaining a Buy rating for the stock.

This adjustment follows Unilever's Investor Day, where the company outlined its ongoing progress and the substantial work that remains. The company's strategic initiatives, aimed at bolstering performance in key markets and refining its innovation process, were highlighted as potential drivers for a multi-year turnaround.

Unilever's ongoing efforts to reshape its business, including the planned separation of its Ice Cream division by the end of 2025, are among the recent developments being closely watched by investors. These initiatives form part of the company's commitment to achieving a sustainable and profitable growth trajectory as it approaches the 2030 milestone outlined in its Growth Action Plan.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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