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FOREX-Mideast tensions send yen to three-month peak

Published 06/01/2020, 01:28
Updated 06/01/2020, 01:36
© Reuters.  FOREX-Mideast tensions send yen to three-month peak
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* Safe havens extend gains as Mideast tensions rise

* Yen hits three-month high

* Gold surges to highest since 2013

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Jan 6 (Reuters) - The safe-haven Japanese yen hit

a three-month high on Monday, while gold soared as increasing

tensions between Iran and the United States sent investors

scurrying to less risky assets.

The United States detected a heightened state of alert by

Iran's missile forces, while President Donald Trump warned of a

"major retaliation" if Iran hit back.

Iraq's parliament on Sunday recommended all foreign troops

be ordered out of the country and Iran said it would abandon

limits on uranium enrichment, after the U.S. killing of a top

Iranian commander and an Iraqi militia leader in Baghdad.

"I think markets are going to remain pretty nervous on

potential Iranian retaliation and what Trump might do next,"

said National Australia Bank's head of FX strategy, Ray Attrill.

The yen JPY= , regarded as a haven in times of market

turmoil by virtue of Japan's status as the world's biggest

creditor, rose 0.3% to 107.82 per dollar early in Asian trade,

its strongest since October 2019.

It handed back some of those gains later, as investors

waited for an Iranian response.

"It's a wait-and-see but it's very tense," said Sean

MacLean, research strategist at Pepperstone, a brokerage in

Melbourne.

The Swiss franc CHF= rose 0.2% to 0.9707 francs per

dollar, while the euro EUR= and pound GBP= were steady.

Spot gold leapt as much as 1.8%, or $28 per ounce, in early

Asian trade to an almost seven-year high of $1,579.55 XAU= .

Oil rose on fears any conflict in the region could disrupt

global supplies. O/R

The dollar gained against riskier currencies such as the

Aussie AUD=D3 and the kiwi NZD=D3 . Against a basket of

currencies .DXY the greenback steadied at 96.827.

The moves extended a flight to safety that began on Friday,

after Iranian Major-General Qassem Soleimani was killed on

Friday in a U.S. drone strike on his convoy at Baghdad airport.

The attack carried U.S.-Iranian hostilities into uncharted

waters and stoked concern about a major conflagration.

The Australian dollar/yen pair - a gauge of risk sentiment

because the Aussie is a trade-exposed, export-oriented currency

compared with the yen's safety status, has been the biggest

mover, with the yen rising 1.3% since Friday. AUDJPY=

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Washington would

target any Iranian decision-makers it chose if there were

further attacks on U.S. interests by Iranian forces or their

proxies.

The European Union, Britain and Oman, meanwhile, urged the

two sides to make diplomatic efforts to defuse the crisis.

"The probability of an interruption in oil supply due to

potential retaliatory measures by Iran has been increasing

significantly for several days," said Marc-André Fongern,Head of

FX Research at trade finance broker MAF Global Forex.

"A diplomatic resolution is imperative, but the Iranian

government's rhetoric remains uncompromisingly harsh."

Besides Iran's reply, investors are also looking to U.S.

data this week after a disappointing manufacturing readout on

Friday.

Service sector surveys in Europe, China and the U.S. due

later on Monday and a U.S. non-manufacturing survey due on

Tuesday are all in focus. So too are November trade,

construction approvals and retail figures for Australia through

the week, ahead of a central bank meeting in a month.

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