Oil gains after strong U.S. retail sales help ease recession worries

Published 16/08/2019, 02:07
© Reuters.  Oil gains after strong U.S. retail sales help ease recession worries
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TOKYO, Aug 16 (Reuters) - Crude oil prices rose on Friday

after two days of declines, buoyed following data showing a rise

in U.S. retail sales helped ease some concerns about a recession

in the world's biggest economy.

Brent crude LCOc1 was up 31 cents, or 0.5%, at $58.54 a

barrel at 0047 GMT, after falling 2.1% on Thursday and 3% the

previous day.

U.S. crude CLc1 was up 43 cents, or 0.8%, at $54.90 a

barrel, having fallen 1.4% the previous session and 3.3% on

Wednesday.

U.S. retail sales rose 0.7% in July as consumers bought a

range of goods even as they cut back on motor vehicle purchases,

according to data that came a day after a key part of the U.S.

Treasury yield curve inverted for the first time since June 2007

prompting a sell-off in stocks and crude oil. An inverted Treasury yield curve is historically a reliable

predictor of looming recessions.

"The robust U.S. economic data released overnight is

providing some degree of comfort as it suggests a less gloomy

U.S. domestic outlook and will walk back some of the more

immediate recessionary concerns," Stephen Innes, managing

partner at VM Markets, said in a note.

Also helping sentiment were comments from U.S. President

Donald Trump that negotiations with China on trade were

"productive," suggesting a possible easing of trade frictions

that have roiled markets. The price of Brent is still up nearly 10% this year thanks

to supply cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum

Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies such as Russia, a group

known as OPEC+. In July, OPEC+ agreed to extend oil output cuts

until March 2020 to prop up prices.

A Saudi official on Aug. 8 indicated more steps may be

coming, saying "Saudi Arabia is committed to do whatever it

takes to keep the market balanced next year".

But the efforts of OPEC+ have been outweighed by worries

about the global economy amid the U.S.-China trade dispute and

uncertainty over Brexit, as well as rising U.S. stockpiles of

crude and higher output of U.S. shale oil.

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