UPDATE 2-'Business as usual' for oil after Saudi attacks, oversupply looms - IEA

Published 11/10/2019, 10:21
© Reuters.  UPDATE 2-'Business as usual' for oil after Saudi attacks, oversupply looms - IEA

* Markets face oversupply next year as global demand slows -
IEA
* Agency cuts forecast for 2020 oil demand growth by 100,000
bpd
* OPEC could agree in December to keep restraining supply in
2020

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By Noah Browning
LONDON, Oct 11 (Reuters) - Global oil markets have quickly
recovered from attacks on Saudi oil facilities last month and
even face oversupply next year as global demand slows, the
International Energy Agency said on Friday.
Saudi Arabia, the world's top oil exporter, has swiftly
ramped production back up after the greatest single outage to
global supply in modern times, the IEA said.
"Oil markets in September withstood a textbook case of a
large-scale supply disruption," the Paris-based agency said in a
monthly report, in a section headed "Business as usual".
"Prices fell back as it became clear that the damage,
although serious, would not cause long-lasting disruption to
markets."
The kingdom took just 11 days to restore lost output, though
average supply there tanked by 770,000 barrels per day to just
over 9 million bpd in September - the lowest level since 2011.
However, troubled economic prospects for 2020 prompted the
IEA to reduce its forecast for oil demand growth by 100,000 bpd
to a "still solid" 1.2 million bpd.
Rising supply growth from the United States, Brazil and
Norway would help reduce the demand for OPEC crude to 29 million
bpd next year, the IEA said, which could prompt the exporter
group to keep restraining supply in 2020.
"The expected crude oil oversupply ... could provide
additional support for refining margins," the report said.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries,
Russia and other producers, an alliance known as OPEC+, have
since January implemented a deal to cut oil output by 1.2
million bpd to support the market.
The pact runs to March 2020 and the producers meet to set
policy on Dec. 5-6.
A deeper cut in oil supplies is among options for OPEC and
its allies to consider at the gathering, OPEC Secretary-General
Mohammad Barkindo said this week. <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Global Oil Demand Growth, y-o-y https://tmsnrt.rs/2B84CwR
OPEC and Non-OPEC Oil Supply Year-on-Year Change https://tmsnrt.rs/317gj1F
Call on OPEC crude https://tmsnrt.rs/2OCPCzd
Saudi Arabia crude supply https://tmsnrt.rs/2nxL7e2
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