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Jefferies raises International Paper stock PT as transformation progress

Published 01/11/2024, 21:08
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On Friday, International Paper (NYSE:IP) saw its price target increased by Jefferies from $56.00 to $66.00, with the firm maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The move reflects the analyst's optimism about the company's ongoing transformation and its potential impact on future earnings.

The company, a global leader in paper and packaging solutions, has been working on a strategic transformation that includes portfolio optimization and cost reduction efforts. According to the analyst, International Paper is making progress on the commercial front and is likely to sell its Global Cellulose Fibers business (GCF). Additionally, the firm has announced a $230 million cost-cutting initiative.

The analyst's revised estimates and price target are based on an 8.5 times multiple of the company's projected 2026 pro forma Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA). This adjustment suggests confidence in International Paper's future financial performance as it continues to execute its strategic initiatives.

International Paper's transformation is expected to encounter some short-term challenges, with the analyst noting that the "next few quarters will be noisy." Nevertheless, the underlying changes are anticipated to enhance the company's profitability and market position in the long run.

Investors and stakeholders in International Paper may see this revised price target as a positive sign of the company's potential to grow and adapt in a changing industry landscape. The stock's performance will be closely watched as the company progresses with its strategic efforts to optimize its portfolio and reduce costs.

In other recent news, International Paper reported mixed results in its Q3 earnings call, with adjusted operating earnings per share declining to $0.44 from $0.55 in the previous quarter. This downturn was attributed to lower volumes and higher operating costs, although price improvements partially offset these challenges.

Despite the mixed results, the company outlined plans for future growth, aiming to become a leading low-cost producer of sustainable packaging solutions in North America and EMEA.

International Paper announced the closure of five plants to streamline operations and is also evaluating strategic options for its GCF business with the assistance of Morgan Stanley. The company anticipates improved earnings in Q4 due to price increases and operational efficiencies. Further, it is on track to complete the acquisition of DS Smith in early Q1 2025 and plans to host an Investor Day on March 25, 2025.

These recent developments highlight the company's ongoing transformation strategy, with a focus on optimizing customer mix, enhancing service, and investing in productivity improvements. Despite some bearish indicators, such as the expected drop in GCF earnings by $275 million, the company is optimistic about its future, targeting around $1 billion in operational improvements.

This strategic emphasis on efficiency and market positioning is expected to drive International Paper's long-term success in the competitive packaging industry.

InvestingPro Insights

InvestingPro data and tips provide additional context to International Paper's recent price target increase and ongoing transformation. The company's stock has shown impressive performance, with a 73.46% total return over the past year and a significant 60.79% return in the last six months. This aligns with the analyst's optimistic outlook and increased price target.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights that International Paper has maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years, demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholder returns even as it undergoes strategic changes. The current dividend yield stands at 3.33%, which may be attractive to income-focused investors.

Despite the positive momentum, investors should note that the stock's RSI suggests it may be in overbought territory, according to another InvestingPro Tip. This could indicate that some caution may be warranted in the short term, even as the long-term outlook remains positive.

For those interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips for International Paper, providing a more comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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