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RPT-FOREX-Dollar near four-week lows as trade tensions simmer

Published 16/10/2019, 11:56
RPT-FOREX-Dollar near four-week lows as trade tensions simmer
USD/JPY
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USD/NOK
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DXY
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(Repeats to additional clients; no change in text.)

* Yen steps back from 2 1/2-month low vs dollar

* Norwegian crown falls to record low vs dollar

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Elizabeth Howcroft

LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The dollar held near a four-week

low on Wednesday as trade tension between Washington and Beijing

continued to weigh on the global growth outlook.

The dollar's losses were most pronounced against the

Japanese yen, which had reached a two-and-a-half-month low amid

concern the trade war between China and the United States will

weigh on risk appetite.

"The retreat in USD/JPY is obviously a function of the

markets being a little nervous vis-à-vis any Chinese retaliation

to the measures passed (in the U.S.)," said Jeremy Stretch, head

of G10 foreign exchange strategy at CIBC Capital Markets.

The yuan fell after Beijing criticised new U.S. legislation

backing pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong.

Reports of a "Phase 1" trade deal between the United States

and China last week initially cheered markets. Lack of details

on the agreement has since curbed any enthusiasm.

"Markets are still cautiously optimistic that any unwind of

the trade negotiations is not going to be a material one," he

added.

Escalating trade tariffs from China and the United States

over the past year have forced central banks to cut interest

rates as global growth expectations weaken.

On Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund said it expected

the global economy to grow 3.0% in 2019, its slowest pace since

the 2008-09 financial crisis. "The cost of taking this dispute to its next stage of

escalation has exponentially increased," Morgan Stanley

strategists said in a daily note, although they added the United

States and China might adopt a more nuanced approach to the

trade dispute in the coming days.

Elsewhere, the Norwegian crown NOK= weakened to its lowest

since July 2001 at 9.1925 per dollar NOK=D3 and its weakest

against the euro since December 2008 EURNOK=D3 .

Norway is a major exporter of oil, making it particularly

sensitive to economic tensions. The central bank has said this

week it expects to keep interest rates on hold. Trade-oriented currencies such as the Australian dollar

AUD=D3 and the New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 also weakened. The

kiwi dollar last traded down -0.5% at 0.6261.

Against an index of six other currencies .DXY , the dollar

was weaker at 98.27 and just above an intraday low of 98.16

reached in Asian trading, its lowest in nearly four weeks.

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