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RPT-Africa development bank says risks to growth 'increasing by the day'

Published 18/08/2019, 22:01
© Reuters.  RPT-Africa development bank says risks to growth 'increasing by the day'
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(Repeats Aug. 18 story to additional clients)

By Nuzulack Dausen

DAR ES SALAAM, Aug 18 (Reuters) - The U.S.-China trade war

and uncertainty over Brexit pose risks to Africa's economic

prospects that are "increasing by the day," the head of the

African Development Bank (AfDB) told Reuters.

The trade dispute between the world's two largest economies

has roiled global markets and unnerved investors as it stretches

into its second year with no end in sight. Britain, meanwhile, appears to be on course to leave the

European Union on Oct. 31 without a transition deal, which

economists fear could severely disrupt trade flows. Akinwumi Adesina, president of the AfDB, said the bank could

review its economic growth projection for Africa - of 4% in 2019

and 4.1% in 2020 - if global external shocks accelerate.

"We normally revise this depending on global external shocks

that could slowdown global growth and these issues are

increasing by the day," Adesina told Reuters late on Saturday on

the sidelines of the Southern (NYSE:SO) African Development Community

meeting in Tanzania's commercial capital Dar es Salaam.

"You have Brexit, you also have the recent challenges

between Pakistan and India that have flared off there, plus you

have the trade war between the United States and China. All

these things can combine to slow global growth, with

implications for African countries."

The bank chief said African nations need to boost trade with

each other and add value to agricultural produce to cushion the

impact of external shocks.

"I think the trade war has significantly impacted economic

growth prospects in China and therefore import demand from China

has fallen significantly and so demand for products and raw

materials from Africa will only fall even further," he said.

"It will also have another effect with regard to China's own

outward-bound investments on the continent," he added, saying

these could also affect official development assistance.

Adesina said a continental free-trade zone launched last

month, the African Continental Free Trade Area, could help speed

up economic growth and development, but African nations needed

to remove non-tariff barriers to boost trade. "The countries that have always been facing lower

volatilities have always been the ones that do a lot more in

terms of regional trade and do not rely on exports of raw

materials,” Adesina said.

"The challenges cannot be solved unless all the barriers

come down. Free mobility of labour, free mobility of capital and

free mobility of people."

(Additional reporting and writing by Fumbuka Ng'wanakilala;

Editing by George Obulutsa and Mark Potter)

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