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FOREX-Dollar gains as U.S. economic strength supports sentiment

Published 20/01/2020, 13:05
FOREX-Dollar gains as U.S. economic strength supports sentiment

* Dollar, yuan boosted by economic prospects

* Traders prepare for BoJ, ECB meetings

* Sterling on the ropes again after Javid comments

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds new quote, details, updates prices)

LONDON, Jan 20 (Reuters) - The dollar rose to its strongest

level of 2020 on Monday after last week's run of data confirmed

that the U.S. economy is holding up well, while China's yuan

briefly hit a new six-month high.

Mostly, however, it was another quiet start to the week for

currencies, with FX volatility near all-time lows and little in

the way of key economic data.

Investors are focused on central bank meetings in Japan, on

Tuesday, and the European Central Bank meeting on Thursday.

Trading volumes were thin as Lunar New Year approaches in

Asia and with U.S markets closed for Martin Luther King day on

Monday.

Figures on Friday showed U.S. homebuilding surged to a

13-year high in December. Retail sales also rose and a gauge of

manufacturing activity rebounded to its highest in eight months.

The strength in the U.S. economy underlines its relative

outperformance versus the euro zone, although recent data point

to a bottoming out in the European economy, as well as a

recovery in China.

"Data released since the previous ECB meeting have been

positive and consistent with the slightly more optimistic tone

struck by (ECB President Christine) Lagarde in December

regarding the economic outlook," RBC Capital Markets' currency

strategist Adam Cole said.

The euro has failed to benefit much from the more positive

noises, however, and the euro/dollar exchange rate is firmly

stuck within a tight trading range.

The dollar edged up 0.1% against a basket of currencies,

with the index rising to as high as 97.727, its strongest since

Dec. 24. The euro was down marginally at $1.1085 EUR=EBS .

China's offshore yuan increased to as high as 6.8458

CNH=EBS , a new six-month high, before the rally fizzled. It

traded at 6.8715, down slightly, by 1145 GMT.

China on Friday posted its slowest annual growth figure in

almost 30 years, although December data showed revived business

confidence and quickening factory output. Sterling dropped on Monday to as low as $1.2962 GBP=D3 ,

down 0.3%, after weekend comments by finance minister Sajid

Javid that Britain would not commit to sticking to European

Union rules in post-Brexit trade talks. Sterling also declined versus the euro to 85.315 pence

EURGBP=D3 , down 0.1% on the session.

The pound is now at the mercy of employment data on Tuesday

and business surveys at the end of the week. Money markets price

in a near 70% chance of a Bank of England rate cut later this

month in the face of a struggling economy.

Japan's yen was unchanged against the dollar at 110.15 yen

JPY=EBS ahead of the BoJ meeting on Tuesday.

"Reduced pressure on the BoJ to ease monetary policy further

should help to ease downside risks for the yen although it has

clearly not been sufficient in the current 'risk-on' environment

to reverse the yen's weakening trend," MUFG analysts wrote.

The BoJ is expected to keep policy steady and nudge up its

growth forecasts as improved macroeconomic indicators take some

pressure off the central bank for more stimulus.

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