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FOREX-Dollar nurses losses; pound's fate tied to EU summit

Published 17/10/2019, 01:08
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar nurses losses; pound's fate tied to EU summit
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* Dollar supported after overnight losses

* Pound on edge ahead of EU summit in Brussels

* Risk appetite cautious in absence of Sino-U.S. deal

details

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Westbrook

HONG KONG, Oct 17 (Reuters) - The dollar found support on

Thursday having weakened on lacklustre U.S. retail data, while

the volatile pound was on edge as Britain and the European Union

scrambled to secure a last-minute Brexit deal.

Sterling GBP= swung about a five-month high overnight,

knocked around by a series of mixed headlines on the likelihood

of progress at an EU leaders summit in Brussels later on

Thursday. It has surged some 5% since last week as negotiations

stepped up, and sat in early Asian hours at $1.2816 per pound.

The dollar was steady against most major currencies.

"I think we're all grateful that we might be coming to some

sort of an end to the recent saga," said Nick Twidale, director

of Sydney-based trade finance provider Xchainge.

"Anything that isn't a hard Brexit is going to be positive

for the sterling," he said, adding a deal or something close to

one could push the pound to $1.3500 or above.

Failure could drop it below $1.2200, Commonwealth Bank of

Australia analyst Richard Grace said in a note.

Against the euro EURGBP= the pound also stood just under a

five-month high at 0.8638 per euro.

The U.S. dollar had dropped on Wednesday as U.S. retail

sales fell for the first time in seven months, painting a gloomy

picture of the economy and making a case for rate cuts.

It was a touch weaker against the euro EUR= at $1.1074 and

the Japanese yen JPY= at 108.69, but slightly stronger against

the Australian and New Zealand dollars. Against a basket of

currencies .DXY the dollar hit a month low of 97.898 overnight

and was steady around that level on Thursday.

The Aussie AUD=D3 weakened a fraction to $0.6755 after a

senior Reserve Bank of Australia official said a national

property downturn had proven a larger-than-expected drag on the

economy. However traders are focused on employment data due at 0030

GMT for the next read on the health of the labour market and the

likely outlook for monetary policy.

"If the unemployment rate rises sooner than we expect ...

this increases the risk that the RBA cuts the cash rate in

November," said National Australia Bank's head of FX strategy,

Ray Attril, who anticipates unemployment keeping steady.

Lingering worries about trade tensions between the United

States and China have also kept investors' risk appetite in

check, weighing on the Aussie and other trade-exposed

currencies.

Reports of a partial trade deal between the world's two

largest economies last week initially cheered markets, but a

lack of details on the agreement has since curbed enthusiasm.

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 drifted lower, following

dovish comments from a top central banker on Wednesday, and sits

at $0.6290, not far from a four-year low hit two weeks ago.

China's yuan, which fell on Wednesday as new U.S.

legislation backing pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong

threatened to widen the rift between Beijing and Washington,

weakened a little further.

In offshore trade CNH= the yuan eased marginally to 7.1004

per dollar.

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