FOREX-After relief, major currencies await details on U.S.-China trade deal

Published 16/12/2019, 12:59
FOREX-After relief, major currencies await details on U.S.-China trade deal

* China's yuan, A$ below highs hit last week

* Trade deal relief gives way to caution

* Post-election Brexit hopes bolster sterling

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Updates Canadian, Norwegian currencies, adds quotes, chart)

By Dhara Ranasinghe

LONDON, Dec 16 (Reuters) - Trade-sensitive currencies such

as the Australian dollar and Chinese yuan held below four-month

highs on Monday as relief following a U.S.-China trade agreement

gave way to caution due to lack of details.

Sterling remained bolstered by last week's resounding

election win for British Prime Boris Johnson's Conservative

Party, while Norway's crown rose to its highest in almost three

months ahead of this week's Norwegian central bank meeting.

Washington and Beijing cooled their trade war last week,

reducing some U.S. tariffs in exchange for what U.S. officials

said would be a big jump in Chinese purchases of American farm

products and other goods. U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said on Sunday

the deal would nearly double U.S. exports to China over the next

two years and was "totally done".

A date for senior U.S. and Chinese officials to formally

sign the agreement was still being determined, he added.

Caution over the future path of trade talks pushed the trade

sensitive Chinese yuan and Australian dollar off last week's

four-month peaks.

"While there is significant relief over the trade deal, a

lot of that would have been in the price already, so now there

is a chance that trade relations could be strained again and we

know a second phase of the trade agreement will be difficult,"

said Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank.

The Australian dollar fetched $0.6874 AUD=D3 , easing from

Friday's four-month high of $0.6939.

HIGHEST LEVEL

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 was dropped 0.3% at $0.6611

after climbing to a four-month high at $0.6636 on Friday. The

Canadian dollar strengthened 0.3% to its highest level in almost

six weeks at $1.3127 CAD=D3 .

The offshore Chinese currency CNH=EBS was little changed

around 7.00 yuan per dollar but below four-month highs around

6.92 hit last week.

It found support from slightly stronger-than-expected

Chinese production and consumption data.

The euro rose 0.2% to $1.1142 EUR=EBS , but also off last

week's peaks. It showed little immediate reaction to data

showing euro zone business growth remained weak in December.

The dollar was a tad firmer at 109.43 yen JPY=EBS although

its index, which measures the greenback's value against a basket

of currencies, was slightly lower on the day at 97.02.

Speculators' net long U.S. dollar positioning fell in the

latest week, according to calculations by Reuters and U.S.

Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday.

"On the back of the trade deal, the main thing is a recovery

in risk appetite, which means a softer dollar going forward and

a firmer euro," said Fritz Louw, a currency strategist at MUFG.

"But at some point markets will start to price in that there

is no clear plan for phase 2 (of the trade deal)."

Elsewhere, sterling rose as much as 0.7% on expectations

that last week's election win for Britain's ruling Conservative

Party will end near-term Brexit uncertainty.

The British pound was last trading at $1.3358 GBP=D3 , 0.3%

firmer on the day.

Norway's crown rallied 0.6% to 8.988 per dollar ahead of

this week's Norwegian central Bank meeting NOK=D3 .

Analysts at ING said they expected the Norges Bank to have a

"modest hawkish bias" at Thursday's meeting.

Currency market positioning https://tmsnrt.rs/38EYb41

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